by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 08, 2024
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 10, 2024
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, Texans +3.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, Texans +3.5; Over/Under: 49 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, Texans +3.5; Over/Under: 49 points
Season Record
Detroit Lions: 7-1 (1st place, NFC North)
Houston Texans: 6-3 (1st place, AFC South)
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Detroit Lions: won their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 24-14.
Houston Texans: lost their last game on the road against the New York Jets 21-13.
Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Lions are entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 24-14. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 18/22 passes for 145 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 73. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Brandon Joseph led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kerby Joseph came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 21-13. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 11/30 passes for 191 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 1 TD. Tank Dell led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jalen Pitre led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Denico Autry led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Lions vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall which has them leading the NFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have been rolling over a lot of teams in their games all season and they are coming off another big win in their last one, beating the Packers on the road by 10. Meanwhile, the Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall which has them leading the AFC South at the moment. They have looked great in their home games this year with their 4-0 home record, but they are coming off a loss in their last one. They lost on the road to the Jets in their last one and their offense looked terrible in that game. CJ Stroud didn't play well at all and he can't afford to do that here with the way the Lions can put up points. Goff has been leading this Lions offense to an incredible season as he is putting up a performance that has him in the MVP conversation, and even when he has had a bad game this season, he has 2 solid running backs to back him up. The defense has also looked a lot better in their games lately and as good as this Texans team has been this season, they just don't have the talent that the Lions have with the Lions being one of the best team in the NFC and the entire NFL this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Lions Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 10, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Lions 34 Texans 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Detroit Lions: 33-12 ATS in all games. 17-5 ATS in road games. 20-8 ATS as a favorite. 19-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 27-18 OVER in all games. 19-8 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-3 OVER off a road win.
Houston Texans: 3-8 ATS off a road loss. 6-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-13 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 4-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game. 8-4 1H OVER off a road loss. 13-7 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Detroit Lions: T. Decker (T) Injured - Shoulder. J. Reeves-Maybin (LB) Injured - Neck. Z. Smith (DL) Injured - NIR - Personal. E. Moseley (CB) Injured - Pectoral. I. Melifonwu (SAF) Injured - Ankle. M. Wingo (DL) Injured - Ankle. M. Rodriguez (LB) Injured - Ankle. B. Martin (DL) Injured - Knee. S. Vaki (RB) Injured - Knee. J. Paschal (DL) Injured - Illness.
Houston Texans: W. Anderson (DE) Injured - Ankle. J. Hughes (DE) Injured - Hip. S. Mason (G) Injured - Hip. D. Barnett (DE) Injured - Calf. F. Fatukasi (DT) Injured - Groin. J. Hansen (LB) Injured - Ankle. J. Okudah (CB) Injured - Quad. D. Horton (DE) Injured - Illness. K. Green (G) Injured - Shoulder. D. Pierce (RB) Injured - Groin. J. Patterson (OL) Injured - Concussion. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Knee. J. Ward (SAF) Injured - Groin. L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“We’re built for this, man. Just because we play indoors, it doesn’t matter. We can play anywhere. We can play in the snow. We can play in the rain. We can play in the mud. That’s just us. We’re built to win.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game.
“Oh, my goodness. I mean, I was talking to the ref when they were reviewing it. I was like, ’Just for the sake of posterity, you have to say that’s in just so it goes down in history.” - Jeff Ulbrich after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Detroit Lions
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr
Houston Texans
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Metchie III, John
WR Dell, Tank
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
Statistical Leaders
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (1840)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (656)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (464)
Touchdowns: J. Gibbs (8)
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (2139)
Rushing: J. Mixon (609)
Receiving: N. Collins (567)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (7)
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (4th season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
