Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/16/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 16, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +2, Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +2, Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  204.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +2.5, Timberwolves -2.5; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  57-25 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Timberwolves in game 5 of this series, Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 40 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Aaron Gordon led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 55% from the field, 47.4% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 43-47-2 this season and their O/U record is 39-53.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 30-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Denver Nuggets in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Nuggets in game 5 of this series, Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in points in that game with 23 while Rudy Gobert and Anthony Edwards each were next on the team with 18 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.7% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 46-43-2 this season and their O/U record is 47-43-1.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Nuggets and the 3rd seeded Timberwolves for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Nuggets have a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 of this series on their home court. The Timberwolves came out strong at the start of this series, taking a 2-0 series lead after winning both of the first 2 games on the road, but now they have lost 3 games in a row and are facing elimination in this game. They swept the Suns in the 1st round so they opened the playoffs with 6 wins in a row, but now they have regressed with their 3 losses in a row. It was never going to be that easy for them trying to kick out the defending champions, but now they are going to have a response in this game after the way they have collapsed over the last 3 games. The Timberwolves did lose both of their home games to the Nuggets in this series, but just like the Nuggets won the last game at home, the Timberwolves are due for a home win since they did have a really good 30-11 home record this season. The Timberwolves are also facing elimination so they are going to bring their best effort here and throw everything they have at the Nuggets to force a game 7. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game.

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 16, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 112 Nuggets 106.

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Denver Nuggets: 7-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 3-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 8-16 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 15-8 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 13-6 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 22-13 UNDER off a home win.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 13-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 20-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 35-23 ATS vs. division opponents. 5-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 18-9 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) out for season - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Conley (PG) Out Tues - Achilles. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

“He did everything for us tonight. And it was fun to watch.” - Michael Malone on Nikola Jokic after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.

“I just laugh. That's all I can do. I can’t be mad. He’s good, man. I think I said that after Game 1 when we won, and Game 2, he’s the MVP. He’s the best player in the NBA. He showed it the last three games, three games in a row. He was special tonight. I’ve got to give him his flowers. He was that guy tonight.” - Anthony Edwards on Nikola Jokic after their loss against the Nuggets in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.4)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)