Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, April 4, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1, Warriors -1; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1, Warriors -1; Over/Under:  234.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Warriors -1.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  47-30 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  44-31 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  4-6 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 47-30 record overall this season and they are 22-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves and the San Antonio Spurs. Russell Westbrook led the team in points in that game with 30 while Hunter Tyson was next on the team with 18 points. Jalen Pickett led the team in assists in that game with 10 while DeAndre Jordan led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 39.6% from the field, 29.5% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-41-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-31.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 44-31 record overall this season and they are 23-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Memphis Grizzlies, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Lakers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Grizzlies, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 52 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 27 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Draymond Green and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.4% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 37-35-3 this season and their O/U record is 38-37.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 44-31 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked good on their home court this year with their 23-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 47-30 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 22-16 road record. The Nuggets have been dealing with some injuries lately, missing some key players in their starting lineup, and they definitely haven't been at their best lately. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost 2 games in a row now, coming off a bad home loss to the Spurs in their last one. The Warriors aren't in a great situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and have a tough game against the Lakers on Thursday night, but the Warriors have been rolling lately as they are looking to climb the standings for a better seed and they have the talent to play this game on a back-to-back. The Warriors are 7-3 in their last 10 games and the momentum is on their side with 3 wins in a row now. They are also in a tight race in the West as they can still fall into the play-in tournament so look for the Warriors to take advantage of a banged up Nuggets team that hasn't been at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 4, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 122 Nuggets 117.

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Denver Nuggets: 27-19 ATS as a road underdog. 19-10 ATS off a home loss. 57-39 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 40-26 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 21-12 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Golden State Warriors: 14-28 1H ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 11-21 1H ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 30-45 1H ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 21-11 1H UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. N. Jokic (C) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Braun (SG) Day To Day - Foot. P. Watson (SF) Day To Day - Knee. M. Porter (SF) Day To Day - Personal. J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Strawther (SG) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Golden State Warriors:  J. Kuminga (PF) Day To Day - Pelvic. G. Payton (SG) Out - Thumb.

“Well, I mean our identity isn't just tied to five starters. Our identity and our culture permeates the entire locker room. So, the group that we go with tonight, whoever that is, has the responsibility to go out and play Denver Nuggets basketball. You've heard me say this often: I don't care who's available for us. I mean, our expectation and our preparation is to go out there and win this game. It's not going to be easy, obviously. But we have more than enough in that locker room to go out there and beat the Spurs.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday.

"You can have a reaction, but you don't want to let it distract you from what the task is. So I think trying to stay as even-keeled as possible -- that doesn't mean you're passive or giving into it -- you're kind of fighting through it and not looking to get bailed out even though you feel like it's not going your way." - Steph Curry on the lack of foul calls in their win against the Grizzlies on Tuesday.

PG Russell Westbrook

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Moses Moody

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PPG: N. Jokić (29.7)

APG: N. Jokić (10.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

PPG: S. Curry (24.4)

APG: S. Curry (6.1)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.2)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)