by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 16, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 22, 2024
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +7, Buccaneers -7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +6.5, Buccaneers -6.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +6.5, Buccaneers -6.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 0-2 (4th place, AFC West)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2-0 (2nd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Denver Broncos: lost their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 13-6.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: won their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 20-16.
Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 13-6. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 20/35 passes for 246 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Bo Nix led the team in rushing yards with 25. Josh Reynolds led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jonah Elliss and Zach Allen each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 20-16. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 12/19 passes for 185 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Baker Mayfield led the team in rushing yards with 34 and 1 TD. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Whitehead led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Zyon McCollum and Christian Izien each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Broncos vs Buccaneers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers have looked good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall. They have 1 home win and 1 road win this season, and they are going to have a ton of momentum since they are coming off a road win against the Lions in their last one. They got their revenge from the playoffs last season and they are looking like a real threat in the NFC already. Meanwhile, the Broncos haven't looked good in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall. They lost their season opener to the Seahawks and are coming off a loss in their home opener to the Steelers. They lost their last game 13-6 and the offense has struggled a lot with Bo Nix not looking great in his first 2 starts. Bo Nix clearly needs some time to settle into his role as the starting QB and he is still trying to adjust to playing in the NFL. The Bucs have a solid defense under Todd Bowles and an entire offense that plays with a chip on their shoulder due to Baker Mayfield. Mayfield has looked great in his first 2 games and will put up points on this Denver defense. The Bucs will eventually pull away in this game with their stronger offense and the Broncos offense won't be able to keep up against this good Bucs defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Buccaneers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 22, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 31 Broncos 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 16-5 ATS in the 1st quarter of their last 21 games. 13-8 (+8.35 units) on the 1st quarter moneyline in their last 21 games. 12-6 to the 4th quarter over in their last 18 games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-13 ATS in the 3rd quarter of their last 20 games. 6-14 (-4.45 units) on the 3rd quarter moneyline in their last 20 games.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: G. Bolles (T) Injured - Calf. J. Reynolds (WR) Injured - Achilles. L. Wattenberg (C) Injured - Ankle. D. Vele (WR) Out - Ribs. J. Elliss (OLB) Injured - Knee.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: L. David (LB) Injured - Rest. M. Evans (WR) Injured - Rest. T. Smith (SAF) Questionable - Illness. W. Gholston (DL) Injured - Elbow. K. Britt (LB) Injured - Illness. A. Winfield (SAF) Out - Foot. L. Goedeke (T) Out - Concussion. Z. McCollum (CB) Questionable - Concussion.C. Kancey (DL) Out - Calf. L. Hall (DL) Questionable - Foot. J. Hayes (DB) Out - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“That was just a bad decision. Can't do that. Yeah, dropped back. Threw it to the other team.” - Bo Nix after their loss against the Steelers in their last game.
“It’s so big for everybody on this team to stick together and get a different outcome than the last time we were here.” - Baker Mayfield after their win against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Nix, Bo
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Burton, Michael
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike
WR McMillan, Jalen
WR Godwin, Chris
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB White, Rachaad
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (384)
Rushing: B. Nix (60)
Receiving: J. Reynolds (138)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (474)
Rushing: B. Irving (84)
Receiving: C. Godwin (200)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (2)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
