by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 23, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +7, Jets -7; Over/Under: 38.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +7, Jets -7; Over/Under: 38.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +7, Jets -7; Over/Under: 38.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 1-2 (4th place, AFC West)
New York Jets: 2-1 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Denver Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7.
New York Jets: won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 24-3.
Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 216 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Badie led the team in rushing yards with 70. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ja'Quan McMillian led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Dondrea Tillman led the defense in sacks with 2. Brandon Jones came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 24-3. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 27/35 passes for 281 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 55. Tyler Conklin led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Quincy Williams led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Will McDonald IV led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Broncos vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They lost their season opener in San Francisco, but they have won 2 games in a row since then and Rodgers has looked a lot better in the offense in each game. The defense was also great in their win over the Patriots and now they have some extra rest since they played last Thursday night. Meanwhile, the Broncos haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. Bo Nix didn't look great in their first 2 games and the offense really struggled, but he looked a lot better last week in their road win over the Bucs. They have a lot to build on from that game, but this is still going to be a really tough game for them with it being their 2nd week in a row on the road and the Jets don't have a bad defense either. The Jets will be able to shut down Bo Nix here off his great game and the Broncos defense hasn't really been tested by an elite QB either. Rodgers is getting better and better in the Jets offense each week and he will continue to improve with another great game here in their 2nd home game of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 31 Broncos 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 14-22 ATS in all games. 6-11 ATS in road games. 4-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 14-7 UNDER as an underdog. 16-9 UNDER against conference opponents. 9-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
New York Jets: 3-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-1 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 3-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 23-13 UNDER in all games. 12-6 UNDER in home games. 17-8 UNDER against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: J. Franklin-Myers (DE) Injured - Concussion. Z. Allen (DE) Injured - Shoulder. B. Browning (OLB) Out - Foot. B. Jones (SAF) Injured - Foot. G. Dulcich (TE) Injured - Knee. J. Skinner (SAF) Out - Ankle. A. Trautman (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Reynolds (WR) Injured - Achilles. D. Vele (WR) Injured - Ribs.
New York Jets: C. Mosley (LB) Questionable - Toe. J. Johnson (LB) Out - Achilles. B. Hall (RB) Injured - Quadriceps. T. Smith (OL) Injured - Rest. D. Reed (CB) Injured - Knee. M. Carter (CB) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I say this, and I mean this, and it's so important — and I include myself and the offensive coaching staff. It's our job to paint a perfect picture for this player. And if we do that ... and when we do that, this guy is going to be something.” - Sean payton after his team’s win against the Bucs in their last game.
“He may not be what he used to be, but he still has plenty in those legs. His arm is still 30 and his mind is still operating at a high level.” - Robert Saleh on Aaron Rodgers after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan
TE Dulcich, Greg
QB Nix, Bo
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Burton, Michael
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Williams, Mike
WR Lazard, Allen
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (600)
Rushing: B. Nix (107)
Receiving: J. Reynolds (174)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (2)
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (624)
Rushing: B. Hall (170)
Receiving: G. Wilson (150)
Touchdowns: A. Lazard (3)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
