by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jan 04, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 7, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +3, Raiders -3; Over/Under: 38 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +2.5, Raiders -2.5; Over/Under: 38 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +2.5, Raiders -2.5; Over/Under: 38 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 8-8 (2nd place, AFC West)
Las Vegas Raiders: 7-9 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 16-9.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 23-20.
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-4 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the LA Chargers 16-9. Jarrett Stidham was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 224 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing yards with 44. Lil'Jordan Humphrey led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jonathon Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 7-9 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 2-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 23-20. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 30/47 passes for 299 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Zamir White led the team in rushing yards with 71. Davante Adams led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 13 receptions and 2 TDs. John Jenkins led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Adam Butler led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Broncos vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Raiders listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Raiders haven't looked great in their games this season with their 7-9 record overall and they have already been eliminated from playoff contention with their loss last week. They have had a really up and down season with the firing of their head coach Josh McDaniels but they have looked a lot better without him as the team is responding to Antonio Pierce as head coach. O'Connell has been improving at the QB position in this offense and even though they don't have playoffs, they still have lots to play for here with players fighting for starting positions and an interim head coach fighting for a job next season too. Meanwhile, the Broncos haven't looked great this season either with their 8-8 record overall and they have also been eliminated from playoff contention. They had one of the worst starts to the NFL season and have looked a lot better in the 2nd half of the year, but they lost a lot of steam over the last few weeks and really have nothing to play for here. There is also going to be a lot of change in Denver with Sean Payton going into his 2nd season as head coach and at this point in the year, the Broncos are turning more to next season while the Raiders have more to play for in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raiders to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 7, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Raiders 23 Broncos 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 7-17 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 22-40 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 1-6 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 18-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 15-8 UNDER in road games. 23-8 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Las Vegas Raiders: 9-5 ATS in all games. 8-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 5-1 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-5 UNDER in all games. 18-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 16-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: A. Palczewski (OT) Ques Sun - Hand. J. Jewell (LB) Ques Sun - Back. D. Turner-Yell (S) Ques Sun - Knee. M. McGlinchey (OT) Ques Sun - Ribs. C. Manhertz (TE) Ques Sun - Illness. G. Dulcich (TE) I-R - Hamstring. C. Sutton (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. B. Browning (LB) Ques Sun - Concussion. M. Mims Jr. (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. R. Wilson (QB) out for season - Coach's Decision. D. Washington (RB) Out indefinitely - Illness. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Las Vegas Raiders: K. Miller (OT) Ques Sun - Shoulder. M. Koonce (DE) Ques Sun - Elbow. J. Johnson (FB) Ques Sun - Back. A. James (C) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Eluemunor (G) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Munford Jr. (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Jacobs (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Mayer (TE) Ques Sun - Toe. J. Horsted (TE) I-R - Hamstring. K. Mauga (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“(Stidham) was collected, calm. He was efficient in and out of the huddle.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“Guys are disappointed. Why wouldn’t you be? We had a great opportunity. There was no guarantee we were going to get into the playoffs. A lot of things would still have to go our way. But these guys are proud about being Raiders. I’m proud to be coaching them.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Stidham, Jarrett
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Burton, Michael
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Adams, Davante
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Mayer, Michael
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Johnson, Jakob
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (3070)
Rushing: J. Williams (742)
Receiving: C. Sutton (770)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (10)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: A. O'Connell (1974)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (805)
Receiving: D. Adams (1098)
Touchdowns: J. Meyers (8)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
