by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Nov 30, 2021
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 5, 2021
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +10, Chiefs -10; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +10, Chiefs -10; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +9.5, Chiefs -9.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 6-5 (4th place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 7-4 (1st place, AFC West)
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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Denver Broncos: won at home on Nov. 28 against the Los Angeles Chargers 28-13.
Kansas City Chiefs: won at home on Nov. 21 against the Dallas Cowboys 19-9.
Denver Broncos Analysis
The Broncos are coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their division games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Teddy Bridgewater was not the best in that game but he did enough to win as he completed 11/18 passes for 129 yards and 1 touchdown. Drew Lock threw a few passes as well and threw 1 interception in that one. Melvin Gordon led the team in rushing with 83 yards on 17 carries while Javonte Williams had 54 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. Bridgewater also ran in 1 TD as well. Williams led the receivers with 57 yards on 3 receptions while Eric Saubert caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. Kyle Fuller led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Stephen Weatherly and McTelvin Agim both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Patrick Surtain II came up with 2 interceptions for them in that one. They have scored 228 points in their 11 games this season averaging 20.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 196 points against them allowing 17.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 338.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 330.8 YPG.
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
The Chiefs are coming into this game with a 7-4 record overall and they are 4-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 3rd divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 1-1 in their division games this season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and they are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Patrick Mahomes did not play his best in that game as he completed 23/37 passes for 260 yards and 1 interception but it was still enough to get the win. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team in rushing with 63 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries while Travis Kelce ran in 1 TD on the ground as well. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 77 yards on 9 receptions while Kelce had 74 yards on 5 receptions. Charvarius Ward led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Chris Jones led the defense in sacks in that game with 3.5 while Ward and L'Jarius Sneed both came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 281 points in their 11 games this season averaging 25.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 250 points against them allowing 22.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 402.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 364.4 YPG.
Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction
The Broncos are coming into this game as a 10 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have been playing very well in their recent games and have pulled off some upsets against some pretty good teams in recent weeks. The Chiefs have been playing much better compared to how they were playing at the beginning of the season but they are still not that same Chiefs offense that used to overpower teams. This is a divisional game so both teams are going to come to play hard in this one and 10 is a lot of points to be giving for a division rival that has been playing well recently. The best bet to place in this game is on the Broncos to cover the spread here.
Broncos Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 5, 2021 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Broncos 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 261-228 O/U in all games. 65-63 O/U as a road underdog. 124-117 O/U in road games. 192-174 O/U against conference opponents. 112-107 O/U off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Kansas City Chiefs: 85-78 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 253-236 ATS in all games. 146-138 ATS as a favorite. 188-183 ATS against conference opponents. 109-87 ATS versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: T. Bridgewater (QB) day-to-day - Shin injury. M. Kiser (LB) day-to-day - Groin injury. J. Johnson (S) day-to-day - Quadricep injury.
Kansas City Chiefs: R. Fenton (CB) Ques Week 13 - Knee injury. K. Saunders (DT) Ques Week 13 - Knee injury. L. Niang (T) Ques Week 13 - Ribs injury.
Notable Quotes
"Those are two big swings in the game and big, big plays." - Vic Fangio on a few interceptions that helped them win against the Chargers in their last game.
"We had a few rough weeks. We had a lot of guys injured. It wasn't clicking. but when you take everything into consideration, we were still able to compete. And to have everyone back and build that chemistry, I think it's a huge part of our success right now." - Chris Jones after their win against the Cowboys in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Fant, Noah
QB Bridgewater, Teddy
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Beck, Andrew
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Hardman, Mecole
TE KELCE, TRAVIS
QB Mahomes II, Patrick
RB Edwards-Helaire, Clyde
FB Burton, Mike
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: T. Bridgewater (2518)
Rushing: M. Gordon III (605)
Receiving: C. Sutton (634)
Touchdowns: M. Gordon III (7)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (3200)
Rushing: C. Edwards-Helaire (367)
Receiving: T. Hill (932)
Touchdowns: T. Hill (8)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Vic Fangio (3rd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (9th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
