Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Dec 05, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, December 6, 2024
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, VGK -115; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, VGK -115; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, VGK -115; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  16-9-0 (3rd place, Central Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  17-7-3 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  6-3-1 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 32 points, a 16-9-0 record overall, and they are 6-7-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2. Wyatt Johnston and Mason Marchment each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jamie Benn, Jason Robertson, and Logan Stankoven each led the team in assists with 1 while Nils Lundkvist each led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 17 shots with 14 saves and a .824 save percentage. Their offense has scored 84 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 64 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 37 points, a 17-7-3 record overall, and they are 10-3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-1. Shea Theodore led the team in goals scored with 2 while Alexander Holtz and William Karlsson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel, Tomáš Hertl, and Victor Olofsson each led the team in assists with 2 while Jack Eichel and Shea Theodore each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 20 shots with 19 saves and a .950 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 96 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 80 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked really good in their games this season with their 17-7-3 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They are coming off a win in their last one with some momentum behind them now, and they have looked a lot better on home ice this year with their 10-3-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Stars have looked really good in their games this season with their 16-9-0 record overall which has them near the top of their division in the West. They are coming off a loss to the Kings in their last one though, and they haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 6-7-0 road record. The Golden Knights have been a tough team to beat on home ice all season and the Stars have been struggling a lot more in road games, especially with their offense lately, so the Golden Knights will have no problem outscoring the Stars as they look to keep their win streak going. The Stars have been playing some great defense lately, but they haven't looked as good defensively in their road games so the Golden Knights will get their scoring opportunities as they usually get a lot more on home ice. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Stars Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, December 6, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is VGK 5 Stars 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 14-20 (-17.9 units) on the moneyline after 3 or more consecutive unders. 66-65 (-13.2 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 75-70 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 38-22 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 33-23 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Vegas Golden Knights: 132-88 (+21.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 72-38 (+17.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 31-15 (+19.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 25-13 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 27-15 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  T. Seguin (C) Out - Lower-body.

Vegas Golden Knights:  Z. Whitecloud (D) Day To Day - Upper-body. M. Stone (RW) Day To Day - Lower Body. B. Hutton (D) Out - Upper Body. L. Cormier (D) Out - Undisclosed. J. Demek (C) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gustafson (C) Out - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“Tyler’s been dealing with this, been managing, I guess is the best way to say it, for a while. And it just got to a point where it’s really this time to have surgery, and it’s a wear-and-tear injury.” - GM Jim Nill on the injury to Tyler Seguin.


"Last night, in the third period, we kind of bent but didn't break, and I thought we had a better third period tonight. We were able to extend the lead and really limit their damage...I thought we checked better, too. We did that well last night, but even better tonight." - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Ducks in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Jason Robertson
C Roope Hintz
RW Wyatt Johnston
LD Miro Heiskanen
RD Ilya Lyubushkin
G Jake Oettinger

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Pavel Dorofeyev
LD Brayden McNabb
RD Shea Theodore
G Ilya Samsonov

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: M. Duchene (28)
Goals: M. Duchene (12)
Assists: M. Duchene (16)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.41)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (38)
Goals: I. Barbashev (13)
Assists: J. Eichel (30)
GAA: A. Hill (2.67)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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