Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/28/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 27, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 28, 2025
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Knights -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Knights -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Knights -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  31-17-1 (2nd place, Central Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  31-15-4 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  3-6-1 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 63 points, a 31-17-1 record overall, and they are 13-10-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-0. Evgenii Dadonov and Esa Lindell each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evgenii Dadonov, Miro Heiskanen, Roope Hintz, and Jason Robertson each led the team in assists with 1 while Mavrik Bourque and Logan Stankoven each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Casey DeSmith was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 33 shots with 33 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 155 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 120 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 66 points, a 31-15-4 record overall, and they are 19-6-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Florida Panthers in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Brayden McNabb, Jack Eichel, Tomáš Hertl, and Tanner Pearson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nicolas Roy led the team in assists with 3 while Tomáš Hertl led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 32 shots with 31 saves and a .969 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 171 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 139 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked really good in their games this season with their 31-15-4 record overall which has them leading their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They haven't looked that good lately, but they have been great on home ice this year with their 19-6-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Stars have looked really good in their games this season with their 31-17-1 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West. They have looked a lot better than the Golden Knights lately with their 6-4-0 record in their last 10 games, but they haven't looked as good in road games this season, going 13-10-0 in those. They are coming off a win over the Blues in their last one and have some momentum with 2 wins in a row now, but the Golden Knights are also starting to play better and will be seeking revenge in this game. The Golden Knights are coming off a win over the defending Stanley Cup champions in their last one and 2 of their last 3 games have been wins too. They also lost in Dallas a few nights ago in a tight game so they will be looking for revenge and have played a lot better on home ice all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Stars Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, January 28, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Knights 3 Stars 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 28-35 (-24.6 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 70-70 (-16.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 26-39 (-18.6 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 41-23 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 

Vegas Golden Knights: 146-97 (+21.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 66-31 (+29.8 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 35-16 (+23 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 8-4 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 goals/game or less. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Out - Face. T. Seguin (C) Out - Hip.

Vegas Golden Knights:  W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body. C. Schwindt (RW) Out - Lower Body. L. Cormier (D) Out - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“It was a night where our hearts were in the right place; it was 11 games in 19 nights. A real emotional, hard-fought win last night. We were running on fumes. There wasn’t much in the tank. We did enough to win. Casey DeSmith came in and was our best player, which is what we needed. A big two points and found a way. Looking forward to a day off.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Blues in their game on Saturday.


"It was massive. Like you said, not our best stretch (recently), but it's gonna happen, it's a long season. And playing a really good team today, they won last year. So, we knew it was going to be a big matchup, we wanted to come out strong and I think we did that. So yeah, it's a positive for sure." - Nic Roy after their win against the Panthers in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Jason Robertson
C Wyatt Johnston
RW Evgenii Dadonov
LD Thomas Harley
RD Miro Heiskanen
G Jake Oettinger

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Mark Stone
LD Brayden McNabb
RD Shea Theodore
G Adin Hill

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: M. Duchene (47)
Goals: R. Hintz (20)
Assists: M. Duchene (29)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.28)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (62)
Goals: P. Dorofeyev (21)
Assists: J. Eichel (47)
GAA: A. Hill (2.60)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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