Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/29/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, May 28, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 29, 2024
Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB 
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +110, Oilers -130; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Oilers -125; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Oilers -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)
Edmonton Oilers:  49-27-6 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  7-1-2 last 10
Edmonton Oilers:  5-5-0 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-10-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-3. Jason Robertson led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Miro Heiskanen and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jamie Benn, Roope Hintz, and Tyler Seguin each led the team in assists with 2 while Jason Robertson and Matt Duchene each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 30 shots with 27 saves and a .900 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Oilers are entering this game with 104 points, a 49-27-6 record overall, and they were 28-9-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 5-3. Connor McDavid, Adam Henrique, and Zach Hyman each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard, and Connor Brown each led the team in assists with 1 while Zach Hyman led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 21 shots with 17 saves and a .809 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 294 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 237 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Stars vs Oilers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL playoffs. The Stars have a 2-1 series lead after winning game 3 of this series on the road. The Stars have looked good in this series as they are up 2-1 and they did it the same way in their previous 2 series, losing the 1st game at home. Now they have the momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row and they have flipped the home advantage in this series back to their side too. The Stars have been a really good road team this season with their 26-10-5 road record, but the Oilers have still been a better home team and they are going to bring their best effort in this game to push back and even up the series. The Oilers have been in this position already too, having to come back in their last series against the Canucks, so expect them to step up on their home ice here. It was their defense that let them down in the last game as they gave up 5 goals after taking a 2-0 lead in the 1st period, but their defense has been solid in this series so far so they will be looking to play a much better game on defense here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game.

Stars Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 29, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Oilers 4 Stars 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 29-16 (+10 units) on the moneyline off a road win by 2 goals or more. 44-23 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored. 31-16 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 25-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 20-13 UNDER in the conference finals. 112-66 UNDER after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more.

Edmonton Oilers: 11-14 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 11-15 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored. 8-11 (-9.9 units) on the moneyline after allowing 5 goals or more. 28-17 UNDER when trailing in a playoff series. 14-7 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 5 or more goals. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Edmonton Oilers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“We gutted it out while (Hintz) was out of the lineup. It wasn’t pretty, it wasn’t as pretty as it was tonight when he was out, but we still found ways. Guys still found ways to contribute without a key player. That’s what I’m most proud of. It was great that he was back tonight, but I’m really proud of how we handled his absence.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Oilers in game 3 of this series on Monday.


“You never know what a player’s going to bring after a stretch of not playing. Usually it’s very hard for a player to find their game, but I don’t think he had any problems. He made a lot of nice plays, obviously with the goal. I thought he was pretty good on the faceoff, and it was nice having him.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 3 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Seguin, Tyler
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Edmonton Oilers
LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan
C McDavid, Connor
RW Hyman, Zach
LD Ekholm, Mattias
RD Bouchard, Evan
G Skinner, Stuart

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Edmonton Oilers
Points: C. McDavid (132)
Goals: Z. Hyman (54)
Assists: C. McDavid (100)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.45)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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