Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/29/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 28, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 29, 2024
Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  228 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  228 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  43-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Sacramento Kings:  42-30 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  9-1 last 10
Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 43-29 record overall and they are 21-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the San Antonio Spurs, the Utah Jazz twice in a row, and the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 28 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 24 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 8 while P.J. Washington led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 55.4% from the field, 56.4% from 3-point range, and 61.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 41-31 this season and their O/U record is 33-38-1.



The Kings are entering this game with a 42-30 record overall and they are 21-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 18 while Keegan Murray was next on the team with 17 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 38.9% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 36-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 33-36-3.


Mavericks vs Kings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 42-30 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They are fighting to get themselves into a true playoff spot and they have looked good on their home court with their 21-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 43-29 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year too with their 21-14 road record. The Mavericks have been up and down in the standings over the last few weeks but lately they have been surging up the West and are now in a true playoff spot. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side too with 5 wins in a row now, but they are coming off a win against the Kings in their last one. The Kings haven't looked as good as the Mavericks have lately but the Kings are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and they will be looking to bounce back from that home loss to the Mavs in their last one. The Kings have also been up and down in the standings lately so they will be looking to get back in a playoff spot now that they have dropped down into the play-in spots, and they are going to have the extra motivation to respond from that embarrassing loss to the Mavericks at home by over 30 points. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game.

Mavericks Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 29, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 120 Mavericks 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 0-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 3-6 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 6-12 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 34-23 OVER after 5 or more consecutive unders. 6-3 OVER after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 

Sacramento Kings: 16-8 ATS as an underdog. 38-19 ATS off a home loss. 22-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 8-1 OVER after scoring 100 points or less. 11-5 OVER after a loss by 10 points or more. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  J. Green (SG) Early April - Ankle.

Sacramento Kings:  K. Huerter (SG) out for season - Shoulder. S. Vezenkov (SF) Early April - Ankle. T. Lyles (PF) Early April - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“I thought just the plays for one another, on both ends, offensively and defensively, was at a high. We’re just trying to take what’s in front of us and play the game that’s in front of us, take the one possession that’s in front of us to get better.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Kings in their game on Tuesday.


“Offensively, watching us play tonight, I’m a little surprised how we played. Our offense tonight led to some easy baskets for them.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Keon Ellis
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.1)

Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.5)
APG: D. Sabonis (8.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.7)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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