Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 30, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5, Timberwolves -5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! William Burns is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 27-16 NBA RUN for +$9,300 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  4-6 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 28 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 16 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 42% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 58-40 this season and their O/U record is 44-53-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 30-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Nuggets in game 7 of that series, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaden McDaniels each led the team in points in that game with 23 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 16 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52.7% from the field, 45.8% from 3-point range, and 64% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 49-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 50-46-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Timberwolves and the 5th seeded Mavericks for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Mavericks have a 3-1 series lead after the Timberwolves won game 4 of this series on the road. The Timberwolves haven't been bad in this series even though they are facing elimination. They have played in some really close games in this series, especially their 2 losses at home, and now they finally got their 1 win in this series which felt like it was due. Now they are coming back home for game 5 and they are still facing elimination, but even though they gave themselves some life with a win in game 4, they still have a mountain to climb so this series is still pretty much over. No NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in the playoffs and it isn't going to happen here with the way Dallas has looked in these games. The Mavericks had an off-night in game 4 to lose on their home court, but they are still in complete control of this series as the Timberwolves only won that game by 5 points. The Mavericks are going to respond to that loss on their home court and even if they do find a way to lose this game too, they will keep it really close as most of the games in this series have been decided by just a few points. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 30, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 107 Timberwolves 104.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Dallas Mavericks Minnesota Timberwolves prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Dallas Mavericks: 33-16 ATS in road games. 10-2 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 25-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 7-0 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 8-4 OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite. 11-6 OVER off a home loss.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 5-11 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 5-10 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 17-25 ATS as a home favorite. 9-5 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 13-4 OVER after scoring 105 points or less. 13-7 OVER after a combined score of 205 points or less.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Lively II (C) Out Tues - Neck. O. Prosper (PF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

“It's hard to close in this league. Understanding we didn't play our best. Give Minnesota credit. They did.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Tuesday.

“We weathered a lot of foul trouble out there, which was frustrating to say the least. Credit to our guys. They found a way to win the game. It was a lot like Games 1 and 2, and we were able to get it done tonight.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 4 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)