Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  48-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Miami Heat:  43-35 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  9-1 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 48-30 record overall and they are 23-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks, the Golden State Warriors, and the Houston Rockets in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Charlotte Hornets still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Rockets, Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 48 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 37 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 12 while P.J. Washington led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 54.1% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 46-32 this season and their O/U record is 35-42-1.

The Heat are entering this game with a 43-35 record overall and they are 20-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Atlanta Hawks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Pacers, Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 21 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.4% from the field, 29.6% from 3-point range, and 90.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 38-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-46.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-30 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year with their 23-15 road record and they have a bit of a cushion between themselves and dropping into the play-in games. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 43-35 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They haven't been bad on their home court this year with their 20-18 home record, but they haven't been at their best in those games with a better road record this season. The Heat still have a chance of surging up the standings into a true playoff spot in the East, but they also aren't at risk of sliding down and out of the play-in games. The Heat are also coming off a loss in their last one and they are only 6-4 in their last 10 games, playing this game on a back-to-back too. The Mavericks are also on a back-to-back here but they have a much weaker opponent since they are playing the Hornets, one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, and the Mavericks have also been the much hotter team coming into this one. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and have a lot of momentum right now with 3 wins in a row. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Mavericks Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 10, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 111 Heat 103.

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Dallas Mavericks: 18-5 ATS as a road favorite. 7-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 14-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 8-3 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins. 10-5 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 16-9 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.

Miami Heat: 1-8 ATS as a home underdog. 4-12 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 3-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 16-8 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 17-6 UNDER off a road win. 9-2 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) Prob Tues - Back. G. Brown III (SF) Out Tues - Personal. D. Lively II (C) Ques Tues - Knee. J. Green (SG) Mid April - Ankle.

Miami Heat:  O. Robinson (C) Prob Tues - Back. D. Robinson (SF) Prob Tues - Back. T. Rozier (PG) Ques Tues - Neck. K. Love (PF) Prob Tues - Ankle. N. Jovic (SF) Prob Tues - Ankle. B. Adebayo (C) Prob Tues - Hand. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

“I’m depleted. Energetic, but I’m depleted. We kept battling and kept doing the little things and trusting one another.” - Kyrie Irving after their win against the Rockets in their game on Sunday.

“You want to end up playing games of meaning, but when you say they are games of meaning, that also means they are games of consequences. That's the whole point of this right now in both conferences. There's going to be wild swings of emotion.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Sunday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Terry Rozier

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Nikola Jovic

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

PPG: J. Butler (21.1)

APG: T. Rozier (5.6)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.7)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)