by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, April 4, 2025
Venue: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: KTLA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mavericks +8.5, Clippers -8.5; Over/Under: 225 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mavericks +8.5, Clippers -8.5; Over/Under: 225 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mavericks +8.5, Clippers -8.5; Over/Under: 224.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 38-39 (3rd place, Southwest Division)
Los Angeles Clippers: 44-32 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Clippers: 8-2 last 10
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Preview and Analysis
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 38-39 record overall this season and they are 17-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Atlanta Hawks. Anthony Davis led the team in points in that game with 34 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 17 points. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 53% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.2 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 37-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-34-1.
The Clippers are entering this game with a 44-32 record overall this season and they are 26-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Orlando Magic and the New Orleans Pelicans. Kawhi Leonard led the team in points in that game with 28 while James Harden was next on the team with 21 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Ivica Zubac led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.6% from the field, 40.6% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 43-33 this season and their O/U record is 35-39-2.
Mavericks vs Clippers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Clippers listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Clippers have looked good in their games this season with their 44-32 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West and in a play-in spot. They have looked great on their home court too with their 26-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 38-39 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record still has them in a play-in spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 17-22 road record this season. The Mavericks have been sliding down the standings over the last few months as they dropped from a true playoff spot to outside of the play-in games just a week ago. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries over the last month too, but now they are getting healthy again and have played their way back into the play-in games. They are coming off a win over the Hawks in their last one, but that was a really tight game which they only won by 2 points at home, and they still haven't been that great lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Clippers have been starting to roll lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They are also in a really tight race in the West right now for true playoff spots as they still have a chance to avoid the play-in tournament, so look for them to bring their best effort against a struggling Mavericks team to get themselves in a better position in the standings. The best way to place a bet here is on the Clippers to cover the spread in this game.
Mavericks Clippers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 4, 2025 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Clippers 110 Mavericks 92.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas Mavericks: 21-30 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 38-49 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 6-12 1H ATS in April games. 35-18 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 30-22 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).
Los Angeles Clippers: 49-25 ATS off a home win. 74-49 ATS after playing a home game. 28-20 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 33-21 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 30-14 UNDER at home when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Dallas Mavericks: P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Illness. K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee. D. Exum (PG) Out - Hand. O. Prosper (PF) Out For Season - Wrist.
Los Angeles Clippers: A. Coffey (SG) Day To Day - Knee. J. Miller (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“It’s good to see that he’s starting to get in a rhythm. He was assertive from the beginning.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Hawks in their game on Wednesday.
“Just getting healthy, I think trusting it. Understanding he can play and go all out without feeling any pain or any swelling. Just took him a minute to get back in the flow of the game. He’s been out for seven, eight months.” - Tyronn Lue on Kawhi Leonard.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks
PG Spencer Dinwiddie
SG Klay Thompson
SF Naji Marshall
PF Anthony Davis
C Dereck Lively II
Los Angeles Clippers
PG James Harden
SG Kris Dunn
SF Norman Powell
PF Kawhi Leonard
C Ivica Zubac
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: A. Davis (25)
APG: K. Irving (4.6)
Reb/G: A. Davis (11.6)
Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: J. Harden (22.5)
APG: J. Harden (8.6)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (12.5)
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
