Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Monday, June 17, 2024

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 29 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 21 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.5% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 60-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-57-1.

The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 37-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 15 while Sam Hauser was next on the team with 14 points. Al Horford led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 36.3% from the field, 34.1% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 50-44-6 this season and their O/U record is 51-49.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics from the Eastern Conference and the 5th seeded Mavericks from the Western Conference for the NBA Finals. The Celtics have a 3-1 series lead after losing game 4 of this series on the road. The Celtics jumped out to a 3-0 series lead but lost game 4 in Dallas in a blowout. The Mavericks were always going to bring their best effort in game 4 with their backs against the wall and now they were able to get 1 game back in the series, but no team in the NBA has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit and gone on to win the series. It is going to be a mountain for the Mavericks to climb and the Celtics are sure to bring their best effort in the next game now that they are back on their home court with a chance to win the National Championship in front of their fans. The Celtics have still been the better team in every game this series except game 4, and they have been the best team in the NBA by a mile all season. The Celtics gave the Mavericks a game at home in this series but that will not happen again here as the Celtics come out strong and make sure they close out this series in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, June 17, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 107 Mavericks 93.

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Dallas Mavericks: 0-6 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 1-5 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. 8-0 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 13-7 OVER off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog. 

Boston Celtics: 22-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 7-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 8-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or less. 16-8 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent. 16-5 OVER after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. 8-3 OVER after a game being outrebounded by the opponent by 15 or more.

Dallas Mavericks:  G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Boston Celtics:  K. Porzingis (PF) Ques Mon - Leg.

“It's real simple. We don't have to complicate this. This isn't surgery. Our group was ready to go. They were ready to celebrate and we made a stand. We were desperate. We've got to continue to keep playing that way. They're trying to close the door. The hardest thing in this league is to close the door when you have a group that has nothing to lose. Tonight, you saw that.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Celtics in game 4 of this series on Friday.

“Preparation doesn’t guarantee an automatic success. I thought we had a great process. I thought we had a great shootaround. Thought we had a great film session yesterday. I thought the guys came out with the right intentions. I just didn’t think it went our way, and I thought Dallas outplayed us. They just played harder.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in game 4 of this series on Friday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)

APG: D. White (5.2)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)