Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/09/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 07, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, June 9, 2024
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7, Celtics -7; Over/Under:  214.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7, Celtics -7; Over/Under:  214.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7.5, Celtics -7.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 30 while P.J. Washington was next on the team with 14 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 2 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 41.7% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 59-41 this season and their O/U record is 45-54-1.



The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 37-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row, the Indiana Pacers 4 times in a row, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 22 while Kristaps Porziņģis was next on the team with 20 points. Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, and Derrick White each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.6% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 49-43-5 this season and their O/U record is 51-46.


Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics from the Eastern Conference and the 5th seeded Mavericks from the Western Conference for the NBA Finals. The Celtics have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on their home court. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which led the NBA with the best record by a mile, and they also had the best home record in the NBA with their 37-4 home record. The Celtics have continued their greatness in the playoffs too, not losing more than 1 game in any of their series' so far. They are also coming off a sweep against the Pacers in the last round and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now. The Mavericks have looked good in the playoffs but they weren't really challenged in the last round since the Timberwolves had just kicked out the defending champions, the Denver Nuggets, and clearly ran out of gas in that series against the Mavs. The Mavs put up a fight in the 1st quarter of game 1 but other than that, they weren't even in the game for the rest of the way. The Celtics are highly motivated to finally get their ring this year and they aren't going to be stopped at home by this Mavericks team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.

Mavericks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, June 9, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Celtics 110 Mavericks 96.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 34-17 ATS in road games. 20-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 26-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 10-1 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 9-4 UNDER in the finals. 9-5 UNDER after scoring 90 points or less.

Boston Celtics: 5-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games. 3-6 ATS when leading in a playoff series. 17-26 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 8-3 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 13-7 UNDER in the finals. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  O. Prosper (PF) Ques Sun - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Boston Celtics:  None.


Notable Quotes


“We’ve got to move the ball. The ball got stuck too much.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Celtics in game 1 of this series on Thursday.


“That’s the KP that helped us get to where we are today. It doesn’t matter how long the guy is off, he’s going to make plays.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 1 of this series on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)
APG: D. White (5.2)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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