Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 31, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, June 6, 2024
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  214 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  8-2 last 10
Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving each led the team in points in that game with 36 while P.J. Washington was next on the team with 12 points. Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 54.8% from the field, 44.1% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 59-40 this season and their O/U record is 45-53-1.



The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 37-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row and the Indiana Pacers in their last 4 games. In their last game against the Pacers in game 4 of that series, Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 29 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 26 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.9% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 48-43-5 this season and their O/U record is 51-45.


Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics from the Eastern Conference and the 5th seeded Mavericks from the Western Conference for the NBA Finals. Both of these teams looked great in the Conference Finals, the Mavericks winning their series against the Timberwolves in 5 games while the Celtics won their series against the Pacers in 4 games. The Mavericks looked great in that last series but as good as they have looked, the Celtics have still been the better team all year. The Mavericks won their last series against the Timberwolves in 5 games, but they did need 6 games in their series against the Thunder and in their series against the Clippers. The Celtics have still been the stronger team in these playoffs since they haven't gone longer than 5 games in any of their series'. They won the first 2 series' they played in with both of those ending in 5 games, and now they swept the Pacers in the Eastern Conference Finals which is really impressive to do. They also had the best record in the entire NBA all season as they finished the regular season with their 64-18 record overall, and they have looked even better on their home court this year with their 37-4 home record. The Celtics have been better than every team in the NBA all season and it hasn't even been close, they are going to bring their best effort here off of the rest and they will win this 1st game at home in the series in a blowout. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, June 6, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 117 Mavericks 106.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 34-16 ATS in road games. 20-10 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 9-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 9-1 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 12-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 6-3 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 

Boston Celtics: 6-14 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 3-10 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 16-26 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 20-10 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 11-6 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins. 28-17 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  O. Prosper (PF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Boston Celtics:  L. Kornet (C) Prob Mon - Wrist. K. Porzingis (PF) Out Mon - Calf.


Notable Quotes


“He let his teammates know that it’s time and they’ve got to take it up a notch. He sent the invites out, and they all came.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 5 of that series on Thursday, winning that series 4-1.


“Great shot. We work on that all the time, two-on-one reads. Before that, I told D White just to stay ready and that was a big shot, a big shot to send us to the finals.” - Jaylen Brown after their win against the Pacers in game 4 of that series on Monday, winning that series in a 4-0 sweep.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)
APG: D. White (5.2)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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