Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Friday, March 21, 2025
Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: CSU -1.5, Memphis +1.5; Over/Under: 147.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: CSU -1.5, Memphis +1.5; Over/Under: 147.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: CSU -1.5, Memphis +1.5; Over/Under: 147.5 points
Season Record
Colorado State Rams: 25-9 (16-4) (2nd place, MWC)
Memphis Tigers: 29-5 (16-2) (1st place, AAC)
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Colorado State Rams: 5-0 last 5
Memphis Tigers: 5-0 last 5
Colorado State Rams vs Memphis Tigers Preview and Analysis
Colorado State is entering this game with a 25-9 record overall, a 16-4 record in conference games, and they are 4-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Boise State Broncos in their last game. Nique Clifford led the team in points in that game with 24 while Ethan Morton was next on the team with 11. Kyan Evans led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Nique Clifford led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 43.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.1 PPG against them. Colorado State has an ATS record of 21-13 this season and their O/U record is 19-15.
Memphis is entering this game with a 29-5 record overall, a 16-2 conference record, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UAB Blazers in their last game. PJ Haggerty led the team in points in that game with 23 while Dain Dainja was next on the team with 22. Dain Dainja and Baraka Okojie each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Moussa Cissé led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.1% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 60.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.2 PPG against them. Memphis has an ATS record of 16-18 this season and their O/U record is 18-16.
Colorado State vs Memphis Prediction
The current betting odds have Colorado State listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Colorado State has looked really good in their games this season with their 25-9 record overall and their 16-4 conference record which had them right near the top of the MWC. They weren't great in their neutral site games as they are 4-3 in those games, but they were the 2nd best team in the MWC during the regular season and did win the MWC Tournament. Meanwhile, Memphis has looked great in their games this season with their 29-5 record overall and their 16-2 conference record which had them right at the top of the AAC. They were great in their neutral site games as they are 5-1 in those and they are also ranked inside the top 25. They have been ranked for most of the season as they won the AAC Tournament and the regular season. They also have a ton of momentum on their side right now, but they did lose a key starter in their lineup and that is going to be a big factor here. Colorado State is the 12 seed, but they have been rolling lately and also have a ton of momentum on their side from the conference tournament win. Memphis has been the better team all season, but they did play in a weaker conference and this is a game where a hot Colorado State team could be enough to take down Memphis without a key player in the lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on Colorado State to cover the spread in this game.
Colorado State Memphis Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 21, 2025 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Colorado State 68 Memphis 64.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Colorado State Rams: 12-4 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 6-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 17-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 8-4 OVER when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.
Memphis Tigers: 11-21 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 12-20 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 9-18 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free throws/game or less. 23-11 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5.
Key Injuries
Colorado State Rams: None.
Memphis Tigers: T. Hunter (G) Questionable - Foot. D. Harris (G) Questionable - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“Those two guys (Born and Morton), the tears in their eyes. I remember coming here, Bowen had an opportunity to play in the NCAA tournament and had been a go-to guy in Northern Iowa. He said he’d take any role he could get — Ethan, the same way. Those two embody the team. It’s crazy. We knew Bowen didn’t have his best game last night. He’s played big for us. Those two guys are the guys that sparked it, to be honest. They came in, we were down 6-0. Their energy changed everything. That guy (Morton) said, ‘I’m coming here for my last year. I’m not going to not go to the tournament.’” - Niko Medved after his team’s win against BSU in the MWC Tournament.
"Right now, we're celebrating the conference championship and getting a 5-seed. I thank the committee for respecting us and our work that we've put in this year. Because we heard so many things. I'm so proud of this team." - Penny Hardaway on his team getting a 5 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Starting Lineups
Colorado State Rams
N. Clifford
J. Crocker-Johnson
K. Evans
J. Lake
R. Mbemba
Memphis Tigers
D. Dainja
P. Haggerty
T. Hunter
N. Jourdain
C. Rogers
Statistical Leaders
Colorado State Rams
PPG: N. Clifford (19)
APG: N. Clifford (4.4)
Reb/G: N. Clifford (9.7)
Memphis Tigers
PPG: P. Haggerty (21.2)
APG: P. Haggerty (3.8)
Reb/G: D. Dainja (7)
Coaches:
Colorado State Rams: Niko Medved (7th season)
Memphis Tigers: Anfernee Hardaway (7th season)