College Football: 3 Teams Undervalued In The Market

It’s already week nine of the college football season. Where does the time go? I wanted to take a look at a few teams and examine three teams I believe are undervalued in the betting market right now. We’ll look at why they might be overvalued and their remaining schedule. These are not in any specific order.

Kansas Jayhawks (1-6 ATS and 2-5 SU) The Kansas Jayhawks have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this year. I still believe in Lance Leipold as a head coach though. The loss of Andy Kotelnicke as offensive coordinator has been tough to handle for the team. Jalon Daniels has struggled badly for much of the season. Daniels and the Kansas offense broke out with a great performance against a good Houston defense last week. Is it the sign of things to come or not? 

Kansas is up to 16th in success rate on offense. They have had some terrible field position and haven’t been able to connect on big plays. The offensive line is getting it going though. They are second in offensive line yards for the season. They seem to be finding an identity.

Remaining Schedule: at Kansas State, Iowa State, at BYU, Colorado, at Baylor

The Big 12 is highly competitive, so the schedule isn’t an easy one. They’ll be catching points though and I’ll be looking for spots to back them. 

Akron Zips (2-5 ATS and 1-6 SU) We go under the radar for the second team. The Akron Zips from the MAC. Akron is -6 in TO margin on the season. The Zips have only scored a touchdown on 8 out of 17 trips into the red zone. That should positively regress some in MAC play. The defense is giving up fewer big plays than a year ago. Akron is a decent 84th in defensive line yards this year. Joe Moorhead is a bright offensive mind, and I expect him to be able to get something going against some of the weaker teams in the league.

Remaining Schedule: Eastern Michigan, Buffalo, at N Illinois, at Kent State, Toledo

Akron has played one of the toughest schedules of a non Power 4 team. The Zips have been tested and I think it will benefit them down the stretch.

TCU Horned Frogs (2-5 ATS and 4-3 SU) TCU has seen the ball bounce the other way a lot this year. TCU has forced six fumbles and only recovered one of them. They have also fumbled the ball 14 times and lost 9 of them. They’ve had some very poor fumble luck. They have a -10 TO margin on the season.

TCU is a solid 34th in the  country in yards per play margin on the season. Defensively, TCU is 12th in passing play success rate allowed. They have the secondary to slow down some of the good passing attacks in the Big 12. 

Remaining Schedule: Texas Tech, at Baylor, Oklahoma State, Arizona, at Cincinnati

The underlying metrics for this team suggest they have been unlucky. I’ll look for spots to find value backing them.