Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jun 15, 2024
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, June 15, 2024
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  BSGL


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  43-23 (1st place, AL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  33-35 (4th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10



Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-23 record overall and have a road record of 22-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Friday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-5 with a 5.50 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 4.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-35 record overall and have a home record of 16-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Yariel Rodríguez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 6 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.


Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked good in their games this season with their 43-23 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 22-15 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked good in their games this season with their 33-35 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL East and well out of the division race. They just lost their last series against the Brewers and now they are coming back home where they are only 16-15 this season. The Guardians are going to have Carrasco starting here and he hasn't been great this year with his 2-5 record and his 5.50 ERA, but he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and has looked a lot better lately after a rough start to the season. The Jays don't really have a starter set in stone for this game yet, but they have been using a lot of good arms lately so they could be thin with their pitching in this game. The Guardians also have a big edge on offense since they have been putting up a lot more runs this year while the Jays have one of the worst offenses in the MLB, something that is unusual for them and has led to a lot of their issues this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Guardians Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 15, 2024 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Guardians 6 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cleveland Guardians: 43-23 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-11 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 22-15 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 6-2 UNDER in June games. CARLOS CARRASCO is 5-2 UNDER in day games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 33-35 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-20 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-11 (-4.7 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 9-5 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 13-7 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Guardians:  B. Lively (RP) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Que Fri - Knee. J. Romano (RP) Late June - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“Honestly, (Candelario) was locked in all night. He had great at-bats against Tanner.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Wednesday.


“It’s a tough loss, for sure. It would have been easier to just pack it in after they scored five but we didn’t do that and just a couple feet away from having the lead in the ninth inning.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Tyler Freeman (R) CF
José Ramírez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
David Fry (R) RF
Andrés Giménez (L) 2B
Gabriel Arias (R) DH
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS
Austin Hedges (R) C

Toronto Blue Jays
Spencer Horwitz (L) 1B
Davis Schneider (R) LF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
George Springer (R) RF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 2B
Ernie Clement (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.380)
Hits:  José Ramírez (71)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (18)
RBI:  José Ramírez (62)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (11)
Wins:  Logan Allen (6)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Spencer Horwitz (.389)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (73)
Home Runs:  Daulton Varsho (10)
RBI:  Davis Schneider (32)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Chad Green (1.88)

Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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