Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +136, Phillies -162; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +135, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +135, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  9 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  61-41 (1st place, AL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  64-38 (1st place, NL East)

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Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-41 record overall and have a road record of 28-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Ben Lively is their starting pitcher on Friday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-8 with a 5.32 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 9 hits through 5.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-38 record overall and have a home record of 37-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Tyler Phillips is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 64-38 record overall which has them leading the NL East with the best record in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB with their 37-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked really good in their games this season with their 61-41 record overall which has them leading the AL Central. They haven't looked as good in their road games though with their 28-26 road record. Both of these teams haven't looked good in their games lately and both have been struggling out of the All-Star break, each going 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Phillies do have a more favorable pitching matchup though and they will be looking to bounce back after losing their last series to the Twins. The Phillies have the best home record in the MLB this season while the Guardians haven't looked nearly as good in their road games as they have at home. The Phillies will have Phillips on the mound here and he is in his rookie season, but he has looked good so far with his 2-0 record and his 2.81 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start, pitching 6 innings in that one, and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting. The Guardians haven't been hitting well in their games lately so Phillips won't have a tough time in this one at home. The Guardians are also going to have Carrasco on the mound and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 3-8 with a 5.32 ERA and has looked terrible in his starts lately. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and his team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting, struggling to win games with him on the mound all year. This is a really good game for the Phillies to win and get themselves back on track. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Guardians Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Guardians 3.

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Cleveland Guardians: 5-21 (-18.90 units) on the runline in their last 26 games. 8-16 (-7.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 24 games. 59-44 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 103 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 33-11 (+11.85 units) on the moneyline in their last 44 home games. 32-11 (+17.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 43 home games. 51-34 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 85 games. 

Cleveland Guardians:  T. Bibee (SP) Ques Thurs - Knee. S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I wouldn’t call it a funk, I would just say we’ve lost more games than we’ve won the last couple of weeks. I like our bats. I like where we are. Everybody needs to relax and be themselves.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Thursday.

“I think we’re just going through a down stretch right now with our offense a little bit, and certainly throwing strikes with our bullpen. These guys are talented enough. I have no worries that they’re not going to come out of it.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

S Kwan (L) LF

A Martínez (S) CF

J Ramírez (S) 3B

D Fry (R) DH

J Naylor (L) 1B

J Noel (R) RF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

B Rocchio (S) SS

B Naylor (L) C

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

B Marsh (L) LF

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

G Stubbs (L) C

J Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.341)

Hits:  José Ramírez (108)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (24)

RBI:  José Ramírez (82)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)

Wins:  Logan Allen (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (31)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.338)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (114)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (23)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.05)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)