Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:38 pm ET, Tuesday, October 15, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  TruTV, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +140, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +145, Yankees -175; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  92-69 (1st place, AL Central)
New York Yankees:  94-68 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their best 3 out of 5 game series against the Detroit Tigers 3-2 in the American League Division Series. They finished the regular season with a 92-69 record overall and had a road record of 42-39. This is the 2nd game of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Yankees on Tuesday for the American League Championship Series. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Alex Cobb was their starting pitcher on Monday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won their 2 playoff games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their best 3 out of 5 game series against the Kansas City Royals 3-1 in the ALDS. They finished the regular season with a 94-68 record overall and had a home record of 44-37. This is the 2nd game of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Guardians on Tuesday for the ALCS. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .781 OPS. Carlos Rodón was their starting pitcher on Monday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won their 2 playoff games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.


Guardians vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 94-68 record overall which won them the AL East. They are also 44-37 in their home games and got through the ALDS by beating the Kansas City Royals. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also looked really good in their games this season with their 92-69 record overall which won them the AL Central. They are 42-39 in their road games and got through the ALDS by beating the Detroit Tigers. The Guardians are going to have Bibee on the mound in this one and he has looked good this year with his 12-8 record and his 3.47 ERA. He has looked great in the playoffs so far, only giving up 2 earned runs in his last start, and the team won both games he pitched in. The Yankees are going with Cole in this one and he has been their ace for a few years now, going 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA this season. He has looked good, only giving up 1 earned run in his last start and the team winning both of his playoff starts this season, but he did give up 4 earned runs in the other game they won. The Guardians didn't have to face the offense they are about to see with the Yankees since the Tigers had one of the worst offenses in the MLB, but the Guardians do have one of the best bullpens and the Yankees definitely didn't see this kind of pitching in their series against the Royals. Bibee has looked a lot better than Cole has in his starts lately too so the Guardians have the advantage here between him and the bullpen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Guardians Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, October 15, 2024 (7:38 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Yankees 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cleveland Guardians: 95-71 (+15.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 11-10 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 39-30 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline after a loss. 31-12 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 9-2 UNDER when the total is 7 or less. 21-12 UNDER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against the opponent. 

New York Yankees: 76-58 (-18.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 46-38 (-16.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 54-40 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline after a win. 21-15 UNDER against AL Central opponents. 4-1 UNDER in playoff games. 

Key Injuries


Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  A. Rizzo (1B) Questionable - Finger. L. Trivino (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Undefined - Elbow. D. LeMahieu (2B) Ten Day IL - Hip. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We’re playing a very, very good Yankees team. We’ve seen them in the regular season. This is one of the most talented teams in the league. So we know we have our work cut out for us.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Tigers in game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday.


“Proud of these guys. We get to go play for it now and we're excited about that.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Royals in game 4 of the ALDS on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
David Fry (R) DH
José Ramírez (S) 3B
Lane Thomas (R) CF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Jhonkensy Noel (R) RF
Bo Naylor (L) C
Andrés Giménez (L) 2B
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Austin Wells (L) C
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.292)
Hits:  José Ramírez (173)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (39)
RBI:  José Ramírez (118)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (41)
Wins:  Ben Lively (13)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (47)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (180)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (58)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (144)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (28)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (16)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (30)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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