Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, March 28, 2025

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  FDSDET

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -9, Pistons +9; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -9, Pistons +9; Over/Under:  231.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -9, Pistons +9; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Cleveland Cavaliers:  58-14 (1st place, Central Division)

Detroit Pistons:  41-32 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10

Detroit Pistons:  6-4 last 10

The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 58-14 record overall this season and they are 28-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz and the Portland Trail Blazers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the San Antonio Spurs still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Trail Blazers, Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 27 while Ty Jerome was next on the team with 25 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.5% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.9 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 44-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-26.

The Pistons are entering this game with a 41-32 record overall this season and they are 20-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans and the San Antonio Spurs. Marcus Sasser led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tobias Harris was next on the team with 15 points. Jalen Duren led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Tobias Harris led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 56.4% from the field, 48.4% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 39-31-3 this season and their O/U record is 36-35-2.

The current betting odds have the Pistons listed as a 9 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pistons have looked good in their games this season with their 41-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked good on their home court with their 20-16 home record this season. Meanwhile, The Cavaliers have looked great in their games this season with their 58-14 record overall which has them right at the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a great road team with their 28-9 road record this season. The Cavaliers have been rolling all season with complete control of the East at the moment, but lately they have been missing Donovan Mitchell and haven't looked as good in those games. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games which isn't bad, but it is definitely unusual for them with the way they have played all season. They do have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now, but both of those wins were against 2 of the worst teams in the West. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the Spurs on Thursday night. The Pistons are going to have the rest advantage in this one, and they have also looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games with 2 wins in a row too. They also beat up on some bad teams in those games, but the Pistons are playing with a ton of momentum due to being a competitive playoff team for the first time in a while and they are going to bring their best effort for the best team in the East right now. The Pistons are catching the Cavaliers in a bad situation here on the back-to-back and they have the talent to stay in this game against a banged up Cavs team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pistons to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 28, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 108 Pistons 105.

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Cleveland Cavaliers: 67-41 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 28-18 1H ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 80-50 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 26-18 OVER in March games.

Detroit Pistons: 3-8 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 13-20 ATS off a home win. 14-21 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 4-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 21-13 OVER when playing with 2 days rest.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  T. Jerome (SG) Day To Day - Knee. E. Mobley (PF) Out - Rest. J. Tyson (SG) Out - Knee.

Detroit Pistons:  C. Cunningham (PG) Day To Day - Calf. J. Ivey (SG) Out - Leg.

“If it’s the first seed, second seed, third seed, I don’t know. Maybe I should be putting more credence into that. But I do think there have been cases where teams have really tried to bust it and you know, really go for a seed, and I’m not sure that’s the right approach either.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Tuesday.

“I think we were outstanding. To set the tone the way we did to start the game, to hold them to 20 points in the first quarter meant we came out with a point to prove. I thought we were excellent in the first quarter, and then again, to hold them to 18 points in the fourth quarter shows your ability to want to close it out.” - J.B. Bickerstaff on his team’s defense this season. 

PG Darius Garland

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Dean Wade

C Jarrett Allen

PG Cade Cunningham

SG Tim Hardaway Jr.

SF Ausar Thompson

PF Tobias Harris

C Jalen Duren

PPG: D. Mitchell (23.7)

APG: D. Garland (6.7)

Reb/G: J. Allen (10)

PPG: C. Cunningham (25.7)

APG: C. Cunningham (9.2)

Reb/G: J. Duren (10.2)

Coaches:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)

Detroit Pistons: J.B. Bickerstaff (1st season)