Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/08/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 03, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 8, 2024
Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Browns +6, Steelers -6; Over/Under:  43 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Browns +6.5, Steelers -6.5; Over/Under:  44 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Browns +6.5, Steelers -6.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Season Record

Cleveland Browns:  3-9 (4th place, AFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers:  9-3 (1st place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns:  lost their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 41-32.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 44-38.


Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis


The Browns are entering this game with a 3-9 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 41-32. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 34/58 passes for 497 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing yards with 41. Jerry Jeudy led the receivers with 235 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Hicks led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome II each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Steelers are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 44-38. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 29/38 passes for 414 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. DeShon Elliott led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 2. Donte Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Browns vs Steelers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall which leads the AFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a really impressive win against the Bengals in their last one, winning that game in a shootout, and now they have shown they can win games defensively and with their offense too. Meanwhile, the Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-9 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC North with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a loss to the Broncos on Monday night and this is going to be a tough game to prepare for now, coming back from Denver on a shorter week now. The Browns have looked a lot better against division opponents this season with their 2-1 record in the AFC North, but both of their wins were also at home. They beat the Steelers at home 2 weeks ago and the Steelers will be looking for some revenge here now that they are the team at home. The defense has also looked terrible for the Browns, giving up 41 points to the Broncos last week, and this has been a common theme for them lately. The Steelers are going to be motivated to not lose to the Browns again and with the Ravens losing too last week, the Steelers have a chance to really take control of this division here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Browns Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 8, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 33 Browns 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Cleveland Browns: 6-17 1H ATS in road games. 3-11 1H ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 1-5 1H ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 15-8 OVER in road games. 9-4 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 29-17 ATS in all games. 11-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 6-0 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 12-4 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 4-1 OVER revenging a road loss against an opponent. 9-2 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 5-1 OVER vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Browns:  M. Harden (CB) Out - Tibia. G. Ifedi (OG) Injured - Biceps. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wills (T) Out - Knee. M. Hurst (DT) Injured - Shoulder. J. Thornhill (SAF) Out - Calf. G. Newsome (CB) Injured - Abdomen. J. Bitonio (G) Injured - Elbow. S. Kamara (DE) Injured - Head. C. Tillman (WR) Out - Concussion.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  D. Kazee (SAF) Injured - Illness. K. Benton (DL) Injured - Hip. M. Adams (DT) Out - Knee. L. Ogunjobi (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. C. Trice (DB) Out - Hamstring. A. Highsmith (LB) Doubtful - Ankle. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. I. Seumalo (G) Injured - NIR-Rest.

Notable Quotes


“We had a plan going into it in terms of trying to get him open. I thought the plan was solid. Jerry executed the plan really well. Got him open. Jameis made some throws. It’s hard in the losing effort to feel good about anything.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Broncos in their last game. 


“I thought our group smiled in the face of it, particularly (Wilson). It's the first time for him going through AFC North football, and I thought he acclimated himself to it well today. He put himself squarely in the history of this series with that performance today.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s win against the Bengals in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Browns
WR Thrash, Jamari 
WR Moore, Elijah
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Njoku, David
QB Winston, Jameis
RB Chubb, Nick

Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George 
WR Jefferson, Van 
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Wilson, Russell 
RB Harris, Najee 

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Browns
Passing: J. Winston (1763)
Rushing: J. Ford (339)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (880)
Touchdowns: N. Chubb (4)

Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: R. Wilson (1626)
Rushing: N. Harris (824)
Receiving: G. Pickens (850)
Touchdowns: J. Fields (5)

Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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