by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 11, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 17, 2024
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +1, Saints -1; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +1, Saints -1; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +1, Saints -1; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 2-7 (4th place, AFC North)
New Orleans Saints: 3-7 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 27-10.
New Orleans Saints: won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 20-17.
Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 27-10. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 26/46 passes for 235 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 39. Cedric Tillman led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Saints are entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 20-17. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 269 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 55. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 2 TDs. Ugo Amadi led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Payton Turner, Cameron Jordan, and Chase Young each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tyrann Mathieu came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Browns vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints haven't looked good in their games this season with their 3-7 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC South. They had such hope this season, starting the year 2-0, but then they lost 7 games in a row and picked up some injuries along the way. They looked a lot better in their win last week though as they won a tough divisional game against the Falcons and that will give them some momentum going forward after snapping their 7 game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Browns have also looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC North. They were having a terrible season with Watson leading the offense but he ended going down for the year and they managed to rally in the next game, pulling off a big upset win over the Ravens. Winston looked great in that game and the Browns started to have some hope, but all of that went away with another bad performance in their last one, getting blown out by the Chargers at home. Now the Browns are coming out of their bye week for this game, but the Saints have some momentum from their division win last week and the home advantage is going to give them the edge with this being Winston's first road game in the offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 17, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 17 Browns 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 6-2 ATS off a home loss. 5-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 13-7 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record. 6-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 6-2 1H UNDER off a home loss.
New Orleans Saints: 17-26 ATS in all games. 7-14 ATS as a favorite. 6-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 5-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 26-18 UNDER in all games. 8-4 UNDER after playing a division game. 5-1 UNDER off a upset win as an underdog.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: None.
New Orleans Saints: E. McCoy (C) Doubtful - Groin. L. Patrick (OL) Out - Ankle. J. Gray (DB) Questionable - Back. W. Harris (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. C. Olave (WR) Out - Concussion. J. Ridgeway (DT) Questionable - Oblique. J. Williams (RB) Questionable - Groin. S. Lemieux (G) Questionable - Knee. N. Sewell (LB) Questionable - Knee. R. Payton (CB) Questionable - Back. K. McKinstry (CB) Out - Hamstring. C. Wilson (WR) Out - Shoulder. A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Hand. D. Carr (QB) Injured - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“We have to eliminate plays that hurt us. I had three of them.” - Jameis Winston after their loss against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“Today doesn't happen without complete buy-in. This city is starving for some wins and we were hungry to give them one — and that was awesome.” - Darren Rizzi after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Tillman, Cedric
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Winston, Jameis
RB Chubb, Nick
New Orleans Saints
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Tipton, Mason
WR Jackson, Jermaine
TE Moreau, Foster
QB Carr, Derek
RB Kamara, Alvin
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1148)
Rushing: J. Ford (269)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (418)
Touchdowns: C. Tillman (3)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (1494)
Rushing: A. Kamara (715)
Receiving: A. Kamara (421)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (7)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
New Orleans Saints: Darren Rizzi (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
