by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 11, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Clemson -10, Pittsburgh +10; Over/Under: 54 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Clemson -10, Pittsburgh +10; Over/Under: 54 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Clemson -10, Pittsburgh +10; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Clemson Tigers: 7-2 (6-1) (2nd place, ACC)
Pittsburgh Panthers: 7-2 (3-2) (5th place, ACC)
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Clemson Tigers: won their last game on the road against the Virginia Tech Hokies 24-14.
Pittsburgh Panthers: lost their last game at home against the Virginia Cavaliers 24-19.
Clemson Tigers vs Pittsburgh Panthers Preview and Analysis
Clemson is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Virginia Tech 24-14. Cade Klubnik was the starting QB and he completed 16/34 passes for 211 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Phil Mafah led the team in rushing yards with 128. T.J. Moore led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Sammy Brown led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Sammy Brown led the defense in sacks with 1. Ashton Hampton and R.J. Mickens each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Pittsburgh is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Virginia 24-19. Eli Holstein was the starting QB and he completed 10/23 passes for 121 passing yards before getting replaced by Nate Yarnell who completed 4/12 passes for 44, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Desmond Reid led the team in rushing yards with 80. Desmond Reid led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Tamon Lynum led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Tamon Lynum, Kyle Louis, Braylan Lovelace, Rasheem Biles, Jimmy Scott, and Isaiah Neal each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tamon Lynum and Kyle Louis each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Clemson vs Pittsburgh Prediction
The current betting odds have Clemson listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Clemson has looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They lost to Georgia in their season opener and also have a conference loss against Louisville, but they looked a lot better last week in their road win over Virginia Tech. It is a tight race in the ACC at the moment and Clemson is at a point where they can't afford to lose another game. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the ACC. Things were looking great for Pitt this season as they started the season 7-0 and were one of the few undefeated teams left in the conference, but now they have lost 2 games in a row now and the wheels are starting to fall off. They got blown out on the road by SMU which hurt their chances to get to the ACC Championship, but they had a chance to bounce back last week and only did more damage with a home loss to Virginia. Their offense hasn't looked good in these 2 losses either and Clemson is not going to be an easy team to put up points against. Clemson also has a really strong offense themselves that has been putting up a ton of points in their games this season, and this is a big game for them to win as they can continue their playoff hunt while also sealing the fate of this Pittsburgh team this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Clemson to cover the spread in this game.
Clemson Pittsburgh Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Clemson 35 Pittsburgh 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Clemson Tigers: 2-10 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 3-6 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 4-8 1H ATS after playing their last game on the road. 5-2 1H OVER off a road win. 7-4 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 6-3 1H OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).
Pittsburgh Panthers: 3-1 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 8-5 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 9-1 1H ATS in November games. 22-12 OVER in all lined games. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 6-2 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.
Key Injuries
Clemson Tigers: C. Sadler (OL) Out - Foot. P. Woods (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Lewis (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Capehart (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Brown (WR) Questionable - Ankle. Q. Castner (K/P) Out - Leg. V. Burley (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Pennington (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Gipson (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. McCloud (LB) Out - Knee.
Pittsburgh Panthers: E. Holstein (QB) Questionable - Head. K. Mumpfield (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Taylor (OL) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I’m proud of our guys. That’s how you respond coming off an incredibly disappointing performance last week. To see our guys respond like that, with unbelievable mental toughness and a will to win, they had a determined spirit. The biggest thing I saw today was heart, and that’s what I asked them to put on display.” - Dabo Swinney after his team’s win against VA Tech in their last game.
“It starts with me. I’ve got to do a better job getting our guys prepared.” - Pat Narduzzi after his team’s loss against UVA in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Clemson Tigers
WR Williams, Antonio
WR Moore, T.J.
WR Stellato, Troy
TE Briningstool, Jake
QB Klubnik, Cade
RB Mafah, Phil
Pittsburgh Panthers
WR Johnson, Kenny
WR Mumpfield, Konata
WR Williams Jr., Raphael
TE Bartholomew, Gavin
QB Holstein, Eli
RB Reid, Desmond
Statistical Leaders
Clemson Tigers
Passing: C. Klubnik (2275)
Rushing: P. Mafah (981)
Receiving: A. Williams (466)
Touchdowns: P. Mafah (8)
Pittsburgh Panthers
Passing: E. Holstein (2177)
Rushing: D. Reid (670)
Receiving: K. Mumpfield (560)
Touchdowns: D. Reid (8)
Coaches:
Clemson Tigers: Dabo Swinney (17th season)
Pittsburgh Panthers: Pat Narduzzi (10th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
