by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 14, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bengals -4.5, Browns +4.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bengals -4.5, Browns +4.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bengals -4.5, Browns +4.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Cincinnati Bengals: 2-4 (3rd place, AFC North)
Cleveland Browns: 1-5 (4th place, AFC North)
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Cincinnati Bengals: won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 17-7.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles 20-16.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Bengals are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 17-7. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 208 passing yards, 0 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Joe Burrow led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 1 TD. Tee Higgins led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Cam Taylor-Britt led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Trey Hendrickson led the defense in sacks with 2. Germaine Pratt came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 20-16. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 168 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Pierre Strong Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 43. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 42 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Rodney McLeod Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bengals vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bengals listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals haven't looked good in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall. Their offense hasn't been a problem since they have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but the defense has been one of the worst, giving up a ton of points. They looked a lot better on Sunday night against the Giants though and they will be looking to carry the momentum from that win into this divisional game. Meanwhile, the Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall. They lost another game last week against the Eagles and even though they made that a closer game, the Eagles haven't really looked great themselves. The Browns still struggled on offense in that game and even though they are getting one of the worst defenses in the NFL here, they don't have the offense to keep up with what the Bengals can do. The Browns defense hasn't been that great this season and they have been struggling to keep teams off the board when their offense isn't performing. They won't be able to keep this Bengals offense at bay either since the Bengals will still be desperate to get back to .500 on the season. The Bengals also improved a lot on defense in their last one so they will be looking to carry that into this game against an offense that has struggled all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bengals to cover the spread in this game.
Bengals Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bengals 32 Browns 19.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cincinnati Bengals: 8-4 ATS as a road favorite. 11-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-3 ATS off a road win. 12-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 8-4 UNDER off a road win. 6-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
Cleveland Browns: 5-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 2-7 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 6-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record. 5-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 11-5 1H UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Bengals: C. Brown (RB) Questionable - Quadriceps. S. Rankins (DT) Injured - Hamstring. M. Hilton (CB) Questionable - Knee. M. Gesicki (TE) Injured - Hamstring. J. Burrow (QB) Injured - Wrist. Z. Moss (RB) Injured - Foot. J. Ossai (DE) Injured - Shoulder. D. Ivey (CB) Doubtful - Knee. K. Jenkins (DT) Injured - Thumb. A. Mims (OT) Injured - Calf.
Cleveland Browns: D. Foreman (RB) Injured - Ankle. M. Garrett (DE) Injured - Achilles. D. Njoku (TE) Injured - Knee. A. Cooper (WR) Injured - Rest. J. Conklin (T) Injured - Hamstring. J. Hicks (LB) Questionable - Elbow. E. Pocic (C) Out - Knee. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. N. Chubb (RB) Out - Knee. D. Ward (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. J. Wills (T) Injured - Knee. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Injured - Illness. N. Hines (RB) Out - Knee. M. Hurst (DT) Questionable - Ankle. G. Delpit (SAF) Out - Concussion. J. Hudson (T) Out - Shoulder. P. Strong (RB) Injured - Hamstring. M. Diabate (LB) Questionable - Hip. R. Hickman (SAF) Out - Ankle. Z. Zinter (G) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We really needed it. I don’t want to say we would have been out of it if we lost, but we’d be scratching and clawing for the rest of the year. We still really are but it was good to get a win. Great to see our defense step up like that. They’ve taken some heat the last couple of weeks. They played awesome tonight.” - Joe Burrow after their win against the Giants in their last game.
“I know the guys are fighting like crazy, and I appreciate that, but we've got to find a way to get a win against a good opponent. We had our opportunities and did not come through.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Eagles in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Bengals
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Higgins, Tee
WR Iosivas, Andrei
TE Sample, Drew
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Moss, Zack
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Watson, Deshaun
RB Foreman, D'Onta
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Bengals
Passing: J. Burrow (1578)
Rushing: C. Brown (283)
Receiving: J. Chase (565)
Touchdowns: J. Chase (5)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1020)
Rushing: J. Ford (264)
Receiving: A. Cooper (250)
Touchdowns: A. Cooper (2)
Coaches:
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (6th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
