by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jan 04, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 7, 2024
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 7-9 (4th place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 8-8 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 37-17.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 33-10.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 7-9 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 2-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 37-17. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 268 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Khalil Herbert led the team in rushing yards with 124 and 1 TD. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 159 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Tremaine Edmunds, Tyrique Stevenson, and Jaquan Brisker each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Gervon Dexter Sr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Tyrique Stevenson came away with 2 interceptions for them while Kyler Gordon and T. J. Edwards each came away with 1 interception in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 33-10. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 24/33 passes for 256 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 120. Bo Melton led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Keisean Nixon led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Quay Walker and Preston Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Corey Ballentine came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bears vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears haven't looked great in their games this season with their 7-9 record overall but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have been winning a lot more games in the 2nd half of the season since getting Fields back from injury and even though the Bears don't have much to play for here, already being eliminated from playoff contention, they still have players that are playing to keep their jobs next season and they will also be looking to take advantage of this opportunity to keep a division rival out of the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Packers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall but that record still has them alive to win a Wild Card spot, but they need to win this game. They looked really good last week in their win against the Vikings, but the Bears have looked a lot better than the Vikings lately as the Bears are starting to gain a lot of momentum with their wins. The Packers looked good last week but there has been a lot of games over the last month where they didn't look great and even though they are at home, the Bears have been playing a lot better and will have the motivation of keeping the Packers out of the playoffs here. The Bears also lost to the Packers in their 1st game of the season and the Bears have come a long way since that game so look for the Bears to be seeking revenge here too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 7, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Bears 24 Packers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 19-28 ATS in all games. 14-25 ATS as an underdog. 5-12 ATS versus division opponents. 6-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 9-5 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-4 OVER off 2 or more consecutive overs. 16-6 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better.
Green Bay Packers: 6-1 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 9-2 ATS off a road win. 29-18 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. 11-6 OVER versus division opponents. 35-17 OVER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. 9-4 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: P. Scales (LS) Ques Sun - Foot. D. Moore (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Johnson (DB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. T. Bagent (QB) Ques Sun - Illness. C. Kmet (TE) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Foreman (RB) Ques Sun - Personal. D. Mooney (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. Y. Ngakoue (DL) I-R - Ankle.
Green Bay Packers: D. Savage (S) Prob Sun - Shoulder. D. Campbell (LB) Prob Sun - Neck. Q. Walker (LB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Owens (S) Ques Sun - Knee. K. Nixon (CB) Ques Sun - Quadricep. J. Myers (C) Ques Sun - Neck. Z. Anderson (S) Ques Sun - Knee. P. Smith (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. I. McDuffie (LB) Ques Sun - Concussion. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Ford (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. S. Toure (WR) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Ques Sun - Ankle. E. Wilson (RB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. C. Watson (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. L. Musgrave (TE) Ques Sun - Kidney. D. Wicks (WR) Ques Sun - Chest. C. Jones (OT) Ques Sun - Foot. J. Alexander (CB) Elig Sun - Suspension. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. A. Dillon (RB) Ques Sun - Stinger. J. Reed (WR) Doub Sun - Ribs. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I know it's a couple wins and all that, but I'm just saying that just to get that vibe in there of, ‘Hey, we can do this,’ that was certainly exciting for the players in there." - Matt Eberflus after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.
“He’s playing at an incredibly high level. I’m super happy for him, because he’s put in a ton of work to get to this point. I really think the sky is the limit for us. He’s just showing a glimpse of what he can ultimately be.” - Matt LaFleur on Jordan Love after his team’s win against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Scott, Tyler
WR Mooney, Darnell
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Fields, Justin
RB Herbert, Khalil
FB Blasingame, Khari
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (2414)
Rushing: J. Fields (630)
Receiving: D. Moore (1300)
Touchdowns: D. Moore (9)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (3843)
Rushing: A. Dillon (613)
Receiving: J. Reed (681)
Touchdowns: J. Reed (10)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
