by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 16, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Charlotte +16.5, Navy -16.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Charlotte +17, Navy -17; Over/Under: 55 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Charlotte +17, Navy -17; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Charlotte 49ers: 3-3 (2-0) (5th place, AAC)
Navy Midshipmen: 5-0 (3-0) (2nd place, AAC)
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Recent Form
Charlotte 49ers: won their last game at home against the East Carolina Pirates 55-24.
Navy Midshipmen: won their last game on the road against the Air Force Falcons 34-7.
Charlotte 49ers vs Navy Midshipmen Preview and Analysis
Charlotte is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against East Carolina 55-24. DeShawn Purdie was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 206 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Hahsaun Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 164 and 3 TDs. Jairus Mack led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Elijah Culp led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Reid Williford and Lacota Dippre each led the defense in sacks with 1. Elijah Culp and Jaren Handy each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Navy is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Air Force Academy 34-7. Blake Horvath was the starting QB and he completed 9/15 passes for 134 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Blake Horvath led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 2 TDs. Eli Heidenreich led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kyle Jacob led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jaxson Campbell led the defense in sacks with 2. Dashaun Peele came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Charlotte vs Navy Prediction
The current betting odds have Navy listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Navy has looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the AAC. They have looked great in their home games with their 3-0 home record and they have been blowing out a lot of their opponents this season too. Meanwhile, Charlotte hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall. They have looked a lot better in their conference games with their 2-0 conference record and they are coming off a big win against East Carolina last week. Charlotte hasn't really played any strong teams in the conference though, their 2 wins coming against East Carolina and Rice, and they barely beat Rice by 1 point in that one too. Navy has a difficult offense to defend with the triple option and their defense has also looked great all season. Charlotte won't be able to put up a lot of points on this defense on the road and once Navy starts running away with this game, there won't be a way back in for Charlotte. The best way to place a bet here is on Navy to cover the spread in this game.
Charlotte Navy Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Navy 41 Charlotte 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Charlotte 49ers: 10-5 ATS as a road underdog. 8-4 ATS after playing a game at home. 5-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-1 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-1 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 4-1 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.
Navy Midshipmen: 5-9 ATS in home lined games. 2-6 ATS as a home favorite. 2-5 ATS after a bye week. 4-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 5-1 OVER after a win by 17 or more points. 6-2 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Charlotte 49ers: S. Handy (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Wallace-Bemah (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Kellman (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Balfour (DB) Questionable - Hand. J. King (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Morgan (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Brown (QB) Out - Thumb. J. Holley (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Navy Midshipmen: T. Bradley (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Howard (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Velez (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Myers (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“It truly will be a game-time decision. Max is back. He’s been pretty good in the bye week. We will have both (Brown and DeShawn Purdie) ready to go. We’re very blessed because we’ve got three guys that have experience and who are pretty good players.” - Biff Poggi on Max Brown coming into this game against Navy.
“I couldn’t be more impressed with the way that he’s playing. I wouldn’t say it’s a surprise, but he’s playing at an extremely high level. His improvement over the course of a year has been tremendous.” - Brian Newberry on Blake Horvath this college football season.
Starting Lineups
Charlotte 49ers
WR Myers, Isaiah
WR Brown, Sean
WR Mack, Jairus
TE Clemons, Jake
TE Weber, Colin
QB Brown, Max
RB Norton, Cartevious
Navy Midshipmen
WR Kent, Nathan
TE Howard, Cody
QB Horvath, Blake
RB Chatman, Brandon
RB Heidenreich, Eli
RB Tecza, Alex
Statistical Leaders
Charlotte 49ers
Passing: D. Purdie (717)
Rushing: H. Wilson (307)
Receiving: J. Mack (295)
Touchdowns: H. Wilson (5)
Navy Midshipmen
Passing: B. Horvath (771)
Rushing: B. Horvath (565)
Receiving: E. Heidenreich (449)
Touchdowns: B. Horvath (10)
Coaches:
Charlotte 49ers: Biff Poggi (2nd season)
Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
