Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 5, 2025
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Panthers +8, Falcons -8; Over/Under: 48 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Panthers +8, Falcons -8; Over/Under: 48 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Panthers +8.5, Falcons -8.5; Over/Under: 48 points
Season Record
Carolina Panthers: 4-12 (4th place, NFC South)
Atlanta Falcons: 8-8 (2nd place, NFC South)
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Carolina Panthers: lost their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-14.
Atlanta Falcons: lost their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 30-24 in overtime.
Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Preview and Analysis
The Panthers are entering this game with a 4-12 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-6 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-14. Bryce Young was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 203 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raheem Blackshear led the team in rushing yards with 20. Adam Thielen led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Chandler Wooten led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jadeveon Clowney led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Falcons are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 30-24 in OT. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 19/35 passes for 223 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 90 and 2 TDs. Drake London led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jessie Bates III led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jessie Bates III, Matthew Judon, JD Bertrand, Arnold Ebiketie, and David Onyemata each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kaden Elliss came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NFC South and they no longer control their own destiny. They are coming off a devastating OT loss in their last one which gave control of the division over to the Bucs, and now the Falcons have to win this game and hope the Buccaneers lose. Michael Penix Jr has looked really good in his 2 starts though and the team is going to be focused on taking care of their business here. Meanwhile, the Panthers have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-12 record overall which has them at the bottom of the NFC South with one of the worst records in the NFL. As bad as their record is, the Panthers have looked pretty good over the last month as they have been playing close games with a lot of good teams and trying to play spoiler. They have another chance to play spoiler on the Falcons here, but that magic has been wearing off in their last few games. They took a bad loss at home to the Cowboys 3 weeks ago and then eliminated the Cardinals from playoff contention with a win, but now they are coming off another bad loss in their last one, losing 48-14 to the Buccaneers when they had a chance to play spoiler. The Panthers really have nothing left to play for this season and will be looking to next season while the Falcons still have a small chance to make the playoffs so they are going to do everything in their power here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Panthers Falcons Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 5, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 24 Panthers 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Carolina Panthers: 7-16 ATS in road games. 2-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 5-12 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 9-3 UNDER versus division opponents. 13-7 UNDER off a road loss. 11-6 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points.
Atlanta Falcons: 6-3 1H ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 7-3 1H ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 5-2 1H ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 7-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 10-5 UNDER off a road loss. 12-4 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Carolina Panthers: A. Thielen (WR) Injured - Hamstring. D. Lewis (G) Questionable - Illness. T. Tremble (TE) Injured - Shoulder. A. Barno (OLB) Injured - Knee. C. Gill (OLB) Questionable - Illness. A. Robinson (DE) Questionable - Knee. J. Clowney (OLB) Questionable - Knee. T. Moton (T) Doubtful - Knee. J. Jewell (LB) Out - Neck. D. Wonnum (OLB) Questionable - Shoulder. C. Hubbard (RB) Questionable - NIR - Rest. C. Mays (C) Injured - Illness. J. Horn (CB) Doubtful - Hip. I. Ekwonu (T) Injured - Shoulder. B. Young (QB) Injured - Hamstring. X. Legette (WR) Questionable - Hip. C. Smith-Wade (CB) Out - Illness.
Atlanta Falcons: C. Woerner (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. C. Washington (WR) Injured - Concussion. D. London (WR) Injured - Knee. A. Hamilton (CB) Out - Quad. K. King (CB) Out - Concussion. K. Hodge (WR) Injured - Ribs. L. Carter (OLB) Injured - Groin. R. Dwelley (TE) Injured - Ankle. Z. Harrison (DL) Injured - Achilles. N. Landman (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Judon (OLB) Injured - NIR - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“We got outplayed. They were on fire today. They made it hard for us.” - Dave Canales after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game.
“Control what your controllables are. Go out there and win our football game. That’s all we can do. Everything else is out of our control. Those things don’t matter. Thing we got to do is prepare for this football game. Prepare for the Panthers.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s loss against the Commanders in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Carolina Panthers
WR Coker, Jalen
WR Legette, Xavier
WR Thielen, Adam
TE Tremble, Tommy
QB Young, Bryce
RB Blackshear, Raheem
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
WR London, Drake
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Robinson, Bijan
Statistical Leaders
Carolina Panthers
Passing: B. Young (2152)
Rushing: C. Hubbard (1195)
Receiving: A. Thielen (571)
Touchdowns: C. Hubbard (11)
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: K. Cousins (3508)
Rushing: B. Robinson (1286)
Receiving: D. London (1084)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (13)
Coaches:
Carolina Panthers: Dave Canales (1st season)
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)