Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 12, 2025
Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cal +23.5, Duke -23.5; Over/Under: 142.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cal +23.5, Duke -23.5; Over/Under: 142.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cal +23.5, Duke -23.5; Over/Under: 142.5 points
Season Record
California Golden Bears: 12-12 (5-8) (11th place, ACC)
Duke Blue Devils: 20-3 (12-1) (1st place, ACC)
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Recent Form
California Golden Bears: 2-3 last 5
Duke Blue Devils: 4-1 last 5
California Golden Bears vs Duke Blue Devils Preview and Analysis
California is entering this game with a 12-12 record overall, a 5-8 record in conference games, and they are 2-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in their last game. Jeremiah Wilkinson led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Jovan Blacksher Jr. was next on the team with 12. Jovan Blacksher Jr. and Andrej Stojaković each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Mady Sissoko led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 35.8% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75 PPG against them. California has an ATS record of 12-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-13.
Duke is entering this game with a 20-3 record overall, a 12-1 conference record, and they are 13-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Clemson Tigers in their last game. Tyrese Proctor led the team in points in that game with 23 while Cooper Flagg was next on the team with 18. Sion James led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Khaman Maluach and Cooper Flagg each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 43.6% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.5 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 14-9 this season and their O/U record is 10-13.
California vs Duke Prediction
The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 23.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked great in their games this season with their 20-3 record overall and their 12-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the ACC. They are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation as they have some impressive wins this season, and they have also looked great on their home court this year with their 13-0 home record. Meanwhile, California hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 12-12 record overall and their 5-8 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the ACC. They have also been a terrible road team this year with their 2-6 road record. They haven't looked good lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and coming off a home loss to Wake Forest by double digits in their last one. Duke has been a really consistent team this season with a lot of blowout wins against conference opponents and they are going to be looking to bounce back after taking their first conference loss of the season in their last one. They are coming off a road loss to Clemson in a tight game and that loss snapped a 16 game winning streak they were on so they are going to bring their best effort here off that loss. Duke is not only the best team in the ACC right now, but they are also one of the best teams in the nation and will have no problem taking out their frustrations here against one of the weakest teams in the conference. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game.
California Duke Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 12, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 87 California 60.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
California Golden Bears: 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 8-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 16-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 26-18 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 10-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).
Duke Blue Devils: 9-19 ATS after playing a road game. 3-6 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 4-10 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game or less. 5-2 OVER as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points. 6-3 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 6-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more.
Key Injuries
California Golden Bears: J. Ola-Joseph (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Mahoney (F) Questionable - Illness. D. Curtis (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Omot (F) Out - Undisclosed.
Duke Blue Devils: M. Gillis (F) Questionable - Illness.
Notable Quotes
"Thirteen turnovers is not going to be able to cut it against a top team like Wake Forest is." - Mark Madsen after his team’s loss against Wake Forest in their last game.
"I wish they didn't shoot as well. I think that's the difference of the game. We had a hard time getting stops. They shoot 68% in the first half, and we're winning. I think that's pretty incredible. The second half, they didn't slow down much. They shoot over 50%. I’m pretty sure that's the first time that’s happened this season where a team shot over 50%, so there's a lot of plays you can look to." - Jon Scheyer after his team’s loss against Clemson in their last game.
Starting Lineups
California Golden Bears
J. Blacksher
D. Campbell
R. Petraitis
M. Sissoko
A. Stojakovic
Duke Blue Devils
C. Flagg
S. James
K. Knueppel
K. Maluach
T. Proctor
Statistical Leaders
California Golden Bears
PPG: A. Stojakovic (17.9)
APG: J. Blacksher (2.4)
Reb/G: M. Sissoko (7.7)
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: C. Flagg (19.5)
APG: C. Flagg (4)
Reb/G: C. Flagg (7.7)
Coaches:
California Golden Bears: Mark Madsen (2nd season)
Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (3rd season)