by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 11, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, October 14, 2024
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
Buffalo Bills: 3-2 (1st place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 2-3 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Buffalo Bills: lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 23-20.
New York Jets: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Minnesota Vikings 23-17.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Bills are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 23-20. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 9/30 passes for 131 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 1 TD. Keon Coleman led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Dorian Williams led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Dawuane Smoot led the defense in sacks with 1. Terrel Bernard came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 23-17. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 29/54 passes for 244 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 23. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 13 receptions and 1 TD. Jamien Sherwood led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Isaiah Oliver, Will McDonald IV, Micheal Clemons, and Leonard Taylor III each led the defense in sacks with 1. Brandin Echols came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Bills vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall. They started the season 3-0, but now they have lost 2 games in a row and will be looking to stop the bleeding here. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and they are coming off another loss last week in London. They lost to the Vikings in another game that the offense struggled in and as good as the defense has been, the offense isn't doing their part. Now they are traveling back to play this game without a bye week after their trip to England, and they just fired their head coach during the week to add salt to the wound. This is a bad game for the Jets to bounce back in even though they are at home here and they are getting a Bills team that is going to be desperate to keep their lead in the division with a win here. The Bills have been the better team overall and their offense has looked a lot more consistent in their games which will be a big part of this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Bills Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, October 14, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bills 24 Jets 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills: 13-6 1H ATS after playing their last game on the road. 3-0 1H ATS after a 2 game road trip. 26-17 UNDER in all games. 16-4 UNDER in road games. 6-3 UNDER after a loss by 6 or less points.
New York Jets: 7-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 2-7 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 3-6 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 25-13 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-2 UNDER versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Buffalo Bills: R. Ferguson (LS) Injured - Elbow. C. Samuel (WR) Injured - Toe. A. Johnson (DT) Injured - Oblique. D. Jones (DT) Injured - Shoulder. M. Hollins (WR) Injured - Shoulder. M. Trubisky (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Hand. T. Johnson (CB) Injured - Forarm. T. Bernard (LB) Injured - Pectoral. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder. E. Oliver (DT) Injured - Hamstring. T. Rapp (SAF) Injured - Concussion. D. Evans (RB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Shakir (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Cook (RB) Injured - Toe. J. Solomon (DE) Injured - Hip.
New York Jets: A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Ankle. T. Smith (OL) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Moses (OL) Injured - Knee. C. Mosley (LB) Injured - Toe. T. Conklin (TE) Injured - Hip. M. Carter (CB) Injured - Back. L. Fotu (DT) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“Overall, that’s on me. We've just got to do a better job. I have to do a better job in that situation.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game.
“In a game where you lose by six, plays like that are exponentially highlighted. Three turnovers for me is definitely out of character, and I’m disappointed.” - Aaron Rodgers after their loss against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Hollins, Mack
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Williams, Mike
WR Lazard, Allen
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
Statistical Leaders
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (945)
Rushing: J. Cook (309)
Receiving: K. Shakir (230)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (5)
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (1093)
Rushing: B. Hall (197)
Receiving: G. Wilson (292)
Touchdowns: A. Lazard (4)
Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
