Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 6, 2024
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bills -1, Texans +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bills -1, Texans +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bills -1, Texans +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Buffalo Bills: 3-1 (1st place, AFC East)
Houston Texans: 3-1 (1st place, AFC South)
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Buffalo Bills: lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 35-10.
Houston Texans: won their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20.
Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Bills are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 35-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 180 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 39. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dorian Williams led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Baylon Spector led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 27/40 passes for 345 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Cam Akers led the team in rushing yards with 53. Nico Collins led the receivers with 151 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Eric Murray led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bills vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall. They lost their first game of the season to the Vikings, but they bounced back with a late win against the Jaguars and gutted out a tough divisional win. Meanwhile, the Bills have looked great in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, winning 3 games in a row to start the year, but they finally got exposed on Sunday night when they got blown out by the Ravens on the road. Now they are going to be on the road for a 2nd week in a row and playing against another tough team in Houston. The Texans struggled last week, but they managed to get the win late against the Jags and that will give them some momentum coming into this one. The Bills hadn't really played any strong teams in their first 3 games, and it showed on Sunday night as they couldn't even move the ball against the Ravens. The Texans are a solid defensive team that can give the Bills offense the same problems in this one, and just like the Ravens, the Texans have a really good offense that is a lot better than some of the offenses the Bills have faced so far. This will also be a big game for Stefon Diggs with his former team rolling into town so the Texans will bring their best effort for it. The Texans have the talent to beat the Bills and the home advantage should be enough to get the job done. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Bills Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 6, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 28 Bills 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills: 3-11 1H ATS as a road favorite. 3-6 1H ATS in games played on a grass field. 6-11 1H ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 15-4 UNDER in road games. 8-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Houston Texans: 9-3 ATS after playing a division game. 12-7 ATS after playing a game at home. 4-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 17-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-6 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Key Injuries
Buffalo Bills: K. Elam (CB) Injured - Neck. T. Grable (OT) Out - Groin. M. Trubisky (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Hand. T. Johnson (CB) Out - Forearm. T. Bernard (LB) Out - Pectoral. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder.
Houston Texans: N. Collins (WR) Injured - Hamstring. J. Ward (SAF) Out - Groin. T. Dell (WR) Out - Chest. K. Green (G) Injured - Illness. J. Mixon (RB) Questionable - Ankle. F. Fatukasi (DT) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Patterson (OL) Injured - Calf. D. Pierce (RB) Out - Hamstring. D. Schultz (TE) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“They came out with urgency and whooped our butt. Not everything was bad in this game. I don’t want us to come away from this thinking we’re the worst. Lot to learn from. I’m glad this happened early in the season so we can correct things.” - Josh Allen after their loss against the Ravens in their last game.
“We were just locked in. Defense gave us another shot, and that’s all we needed.” - C.J. Stroud after their win against the Jaguars in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Hollins, Mack
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Dell, Tank
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
FB Brooks, British
Statistical Leaders
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (814)
Rushing: J. Cook (227)
Receiving: K. Shakir (230)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (4)
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (1054)
Rushing: J. Mixon (184)
Receiving: N. Collins (489)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (3)
Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)