Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024

Venue:  Kyle Field, College Station, TX

Where to Watch:  SEC Network+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BGSU +22.5, TAMU -22.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BGSU +22.5, TAMU -22.5; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BGSU +22.5, TAMU -22.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bowling Green Falcons:  1-1 (0-0) (6th place, MAC)

Texas A&M Aggies:  2-1 (1-0) (3rd place, SEC)

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Bowling Green Falcons:  lost their last game on the road against the Penn State Nittany Lions 34-27.

Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game on the road against the Florida Gators 33-20.

Bowling Green State is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Penn State 34-27. Connor Bazelak was the starting QB and he completed 25/39 passes for 254 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jaison Patterson led the team in rushing yards with 57. Harold Fannin Jr. led the receivers with 137 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. CJ Brown led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Charles Rosser led the defense in sacks with 1. Ja'Corey Benjamin came away with the only interception for the in that one.

 

 

 

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida 33-20. Marcel Reed was the starting QB and he completed 11/17 passes for 178 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Le'Veon Moss led the team in rushing yards with 110. Cyrus Allen led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Marcus Ratcliffe led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Cashius Howell led the defense in sacks with 1. Marcus Ratcliffe, Jayvon Thomas, and Jayvon Thomas each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Bowling Green listed as a 22.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Bowling Green State has looked really good in their games this season with their 1-1 record overall. They won their season opener convincingly against Fordham and they are coming off a loss in their last one, but that loss was on the road against a ranked Penn State team. They only lost that game on the road 34-27 and were even leading the game for a lot of it. They have been building this program up under Loeffler and their last game wasn't the first time that they have caused problems for a bigger school. They are also coming off their bye week so they have had some extra time to prepare for this game which will help. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They lost their season opener at home to Notre Dame in a close game and bounced back after that with a big 51-10 win over McNeese State. Now they are coming off a road win against Florida 33-20 in their 1st conference game of the season, but they didn't really blow Florida out in that game and Florida hasn't been a great team this season. Texas A&M already has a home loss this season as they are still figuring things out in Mike Elko's 1st year as head coach, and Bowling Green just went into Penn State which is a really difficult place to play, causing a lot of problems for the Nittany Lions too. Texas A&M just played a conference game last week and they have another next week so this is a game where they could be overlooking Bowling Green while Bowling Green will be gunning for them to get a huge win over a team from the SEC. Bowling Green likely won't pull off the upset here, but they will make this a close enough game to give Texas A&M a scare here. The best way to place a bet here is on Bowling Green to cover the spread in this game. 

Bowling Green Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 35 Bowling Green 24.

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Bowling Green Falcons: 18-10 1H ATS in all lined games. 10-4 1H ATS in road lined games. 6-2 1H ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-4 OVER in road lined games. 8-4 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-3 OVER in non-conference games.

Texas A&M Aggies: 3-8 ATS in non-conference games. 7-13 ATS in games played on a grass field. 1-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 6-2 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 7-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Bowling Green Falcons:  T. Stewart (RB) Questionable - Ankle. N. Amachree (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. McNeal (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Tillman (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Thigpen (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Grguric (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Orth (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Kelly (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Garcia (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Hardamon (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Harris (OT) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Wimberly (RB) Out - Undisclosed.

Texas A&M Aggies:  T. Jones (DB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Chappell (DB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Weigman (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Williams (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Nabou (OL) Out - Knee. R. Owens (RB) Out - Lower Body.

“I think offensively in the first half, we had an excellent game plan. At the end of the game, those last couple drives, we just ran out of bullets.” - Scot Loeffler after his team’s loss against Penn State in their last game.

“He was lights out. He was calm. He was confident. He made throws.” - Mike Elko on Marcel Reed after his team’s win against Florida in their last game. 

WR Tillman, Jaylon 

WR Johnson Jr., Malcolm 

TE Fannin Jr., Harold

TE Gazarek, Levi 

QB Bazelak, Connor

RB Stewart, Terion

WR Thomas, Noah

WR Allen, Cyrus

WR Barber, Jabre  

TE Watson, Tre 

QB Weigman, Conner 

RB Moss, Le'Veon 

Passing: C. Bazelak (422)

Rushing: T. Stewart (161)

Receiving: H. Fannin (204)

Touchdowns: T. Stewart (3)

Passing: M. Reed (249)

Rushing: L. Moss (264)

Receiving: C. Allen (181)

Touchdowns: L. Moss (3)

Coaches:

Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (6th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (1st season)