by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 02, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 7, 2024
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Where to Watch: Big Ten Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BGSU +35, PSU -35; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BGSU +35, PSU -35; Over/Under: 49.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BGSU +35, PSU -35; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Bowling Green Falcons: 1-0 (0-0) (4th place, MAC)
Penn State Nittany Lions: 1-0 (0-0) (9th place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Bowling Green Falcons: won their last game at home against the Fordham Rams 41-17.
Penn State Nittany Lions: won their last game on the road against the West Virginia Mountaineers 34-12.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Analysis
Bowling Green State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Fordham 41-17. Connor Bazelak was the starting QB and he completed 15/22 passes for 168 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Terion Stewart led the team in rushing yards with 161 and 3 TDs. Harold Fannin led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Joseph Sipp Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Anthony Hawkins led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Penn State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against West Virginia 34-12. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 11/17 passes for 216 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nick Singleton led the team in rushing yards with 114 and 1 TD. Harrison Wallace III led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Kevin Winston Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Zane Durant and Smith Vilbert each led the defense in sacks with 1. Elliot Washington II came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bowling Green vs Penn State Prediction
The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 35 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State looked great in their season opener as they went on the road and beat a West Virginia team that was really tough last season. Their defense showed up big on the road by only giving up 12 points, and their offense was rolling even with a rain delay slowing down their momentum. Meanwhile, Bowling Green also looked great in their season opener with a big 41-17 home win, but they also played a team from the FCS. Their win was against Fordham who really isn't an impressive team in the FCS, and their defense still gave up 17 points in that game at home. Now they go on the road against a ranked team who is looking to prove that they are one of the best in the country this season. This is the home opener for Penn State too so their offense will look a lot better than it did on the road last week, and they are playing against a weaker offense too so Bowling Green will be lucky to put up a TD at all here. Penn State will be looking to put on a show in their home opener and Bowling Green doesn't really have the talent to keep up in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game.
Bowling Green Penn State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 7, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is PSU 45 BGSU 6.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Bowling Green Falcons: 7-0 ATS in the first half of their last 7 games. 6-3 (+11.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 9 games. 8-1 (+12.70 units) on the first half moneyline in their last 9 games.
Penn State Nittany Lions: 0-4 ATS in the first half of their last 4 home games. 1-5 ATS in the first quarter of their last 6 home games. 10-3 to the first quarter under in their last 13 games.
Key Injuries
Bowling Green Falcons: P. Wimberly (RB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Grguric (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Harris (OT) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Amachree (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Thigpen (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. McNeal (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Orth (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Hardamon (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Garcia (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Penn State Nittany Lions: D. Cook (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. X. Gilliam (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Gonzalez (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Jackson (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Cunningham (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Williams (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Andrews (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Robinson (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Siafa (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Smolik (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dinkins (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Obviously, the strength of our football team is the offensive line and the run game. It’s the way that we’ve always wanted it. We wanted to have a team that can run the football, and we wanted a defensive front that can stop the run.” - Scot Loeffler after his team’s win against Fordham in their last game.
“We got to it today. But we've got to do it week in and week out.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against WVU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Bowling Green Falcons
WR Tillman, Jaylon
WR Johnson Jr., Malcolm
TE Fannin Jr., Harold
TE Gazarek, Levi
QB Bazelak, Connor
RB Stewart, Terion
Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Wallace III, Harrison
WR Saunders, Kaden
TE Warren, Tyler
QB Allar, Drew
RB Singleton, Nicholas
Statistical Leaders
Bowling Green Falcons
Passing: C. Bazelak (168)
Rushing: T. Stewart (161)
Receiving: H. Fannin (67)
Touchdowns: T. Stewart (3)
Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: D. Allar (216)
Rushing: N. Singleton (114)
Receiving: H. Wallace (117)
Touchdowns: H. Wallace (2)
Coaches:
Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (6th season)
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
