by James Q
Wednesday, Apr 27, 2022Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Odds, Preview and Picks - 04/28/2022
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 28th, 2022
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Canada
Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings ** NESN
Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Red Sox +145, Blue Jays -164; O/U 8
BetMGM: Moneyline: N/A
PointsBet: Moneyline: Red Sox +140, Blue Jays -164; O/U 8
Season Record
Red Sox: 7-11, 4th place AL East
Blue Jays:12-6, 1st place AL East
An MLB American League East matchup between a struggling team and a surging team. This game (Thursday) is the last of a 4-game series between the Red Sox and Blue Jays. The Red Sox are sinking fast in the early season standings. The Blue Jays are comfortably in first place in the early season standings. Things can change in the long baseball season, but for now both teams are playing as advertised.
The Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last ten games and are on a hard 4-game losing streak (results for Wednesday matchup not included). They dropped the first two games to the Toronto Raptors after having just dropped the last two-games of a 3-game series to the Tampa Bay Rays. In the span of games they also have a loss to the Minnesota Twins and 2 more losses to the Toronto Blue Jays in a very recent 3-game series.
The Toronto Blue Jays are crushing the game lately going 7-3 in their last ten games. 4 of those wins were against the Boston Red Sox, plus 2 wins taken off the Houston Astros, and 1 win over the Oakland Athletics (during the 10 game span). Right handed pitchers are getting the job done for the Blues Jays with Kecvin Gausman winning twice, Jose Berrios winning twice and Alek Manoah winning twice. The lefty’s are suspect with all three losses coming off lefties Yusei Kikuchi (twice) and Hyun Jin Ryu.
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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis
Offensive Analysis
The Red Sox are 22nd in runs scored with 3.61 per game, 20th in batting average with .226, and 28th in OBP with .274.
Toronto is 12th in runs scored with 4.33 per game, 5th in batting average with .252, and 15th in OBP with .31.
Defensive Analysis
The Red Sox are posting a team ERA of 3.87 for 20th in MLB, 19th in Whip with 1.27…. The Sox are 9th in the league in errors… having posted 7 on the season so far.
The Blue Jays are posting a 3.54 team ERA with 3.54, 11th in Whip 1.17, 15th in strikeouts per game with 8.56. The Jays are 17th in the league in errors having posted 9 so far this season.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Our prediction for Thursday April 28th is... Blue Jays 5 - Red Sox 2
The Blue Jays will close the stand with yet another win against Boston. The Blue Jays pitching numbers don’t jump off the page, but they get plenty of run support. Conversely the Red Sox are suffering on the offensive AND defensive sides of the ball… meanwhile the Red Sox are soldiering through without Alex Cora at the helm.
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MLB Betting Trends
Toronto games have produced 5 Overs and 11 UNDERS this season.
The Red Sox have 2 wins and 7 losses in the 9 times they have been underdogs this season.
Boston games have produced 4 Overs and 13 UNDERS this season.
Key Injuries
Red Sox: Pitchers Tanner Houck and Kutter Crawford are not available to play in Toronto because of “personal” reasons.
Blue Jays: Catcher Danny Jansen (oblique) Out ** 2B Craig Biggio (covid list) Out ** LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr (hamstring soreness) Quest
Players to Watch
Red Sox: Right handed pitcher Garrett Whitlock. This 25 year old pitcher is tossing it well in a very small sample size. He is 1-0, has 13 innings pitched with 18 strikeouts and 0.51 Whip.
Blue Jays: Right handed pitcher Alek Manoah. Alek is 3-0 on the season with a 2.00 ERA, 18 innings pitched with 18 strikeouts and a simple 1.00 Whip.
Starting Lineups
Red Sox: 2B Trevor Story, LF Alex Verdugo, SS Xander Bogaerts, DH J.D. Martinez, CF Enrique Hernandez, RF Jackie Bradley Jr, 1B Bobby Dalbec, 3B Christian Arroyo, C Christian Vazquez
Blue Jays: RF George Springer, SS Bo Bichette, DH Vladimir Guerrero JR, C Zack Collins, 3B Matt Chapman, LF Raimel Tapia, 2B Santiago Espinal, 1B Gosuke Katoh, CF Bradley Zimmer
Managers
Red Sox: Alex Cora… Though bench coach Will Venable has been filling in for Alex as Alex recovers from a Covid spell.
Blue Jays: Charlie Montoya.. Manning his post since 2019…. He has been there as the team has risen to contender status. Is he also the guy who can put them over the top.
Weather Forecast
51* with a chance of showers. Winds blowing in spurts up to 17 mph.
James Q
About the Author:
James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.
