by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 19, 2024
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 20, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +114, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +115, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +115, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Boston Red Sox: 53-42 (3rd place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 56-41 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3-7 last 10
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-42 record overall and have a road record of 29-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Nick Pivetta is their starting pitcher on Friday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-5 with a 5.32 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 6.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-41 record overall and have a home record of 28-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Gavin Stone is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 56-41 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 53-42 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East, but now fighting for a Wild Card spot after being under .500 and well out of the playoff race for most of the year. They have also looked better in their road games with their 29-17 road record and this is a game they are going to have the better pitching matchup in which gives them a good chance to take this one. The Red Sox will have Bello on the mound here and he is 10-5 with a 5.32 ERA. He hasn't been lights out this season but he has looked a lot better lately, giving up 3 earned runs in his last start. The team has also had a ton of success with him this year since they have won 3 games in a row with him starting and he also leads the starting rotation in wins. The Dodgers are going with their rookie Wrobleski in this one and he hasn't looked great in his few MLB starts this season. He is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA and still trying to find his rhythm in the league. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and his team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting. The Dodgers do have a good offense to help him out if he gets into trouble, but the Red Sox also have a really good offense that is going to get to this rookie for some runs. The Dodgers were also cooling off into the break while the Red Sox have been getting hot and are now in a position to make the playoffs so they are going to bring their best effort here for one of the best in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
Red Sox Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 20, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 9 Dodgers 6.
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MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox: 28-15 (+14.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 43 away games. 49-46 (+5.25 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 95 games. 30-22 to the over in their last 52 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 46-37 (-17.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 83 games. 23-30 (-11.95 units) on the runline in their last 53 games. 26-19 to the over in their last 45 home games.
Key Injuries
Boston Red Sox: J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: D. Hudson (RP) Ques Fri - Back. D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“The kid is locked in. Just take care of him this week. He's not going to Texas for a good reason, right. He wants to be ready for the second part, getting treatment during the week and keeping healthy.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.
“Hung an 0-2 breaking ball to McKinstry for a triple, and that sort of opened the flood gates.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Boston Red Sox
J Duran (L) CF
D Hamilton (L) 2B
M Yoshida (L) DH
R Devers (L) 3B
T O'Neill (R) LF
W Abreu (L) RF
Do Smith (L) 1B
R McGuire (L) C
C Rafaela (R) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) LF
A Pages (R) RF
M Rojas (R) SS
G Lux (L) 2B
C Taylor (R) 3B
J Outman (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Connor Wong (.307)
Hits: Jarren Duran (113)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (23)
RBI: Rafael Devers (61)
Stolen Bases: David Hamilton (23)
Wins: Brayan Bello (10)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (19)
ERA: Brennan Bernardino (1.69)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.316)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (117)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (29)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (69)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (23)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
