by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, July 19, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +114, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +115, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +115, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Boston Red Sox: 53-42 (3rd place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 56-41 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3-7 last 10
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-42 record overall and have a road record of 29-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Brayan Bello was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 10 Ks on 6 hits through 6.2 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-41 record overall and have a home record of 28-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Brent Honeywell was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Gavin Stone is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-3 with a 3.26 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 56-41 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 53-42 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East, but now fighting for a Wild Card spot after being under .500 and well out of the playoff race for most of the year. They have also looked better in their road games with their 29-17 road record, but this is a game that the Dodgers are going to have the advantage in with this pitching matchup at home. The Red Sox are going to have Pivetta on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and his team hasn't had a ton of success with him lately. He has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts all year, giving up 4 earned runs in his last start, and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Dodgers are going to have Stone going in this one and he has been lights out this season with his 9-3 record and his 3.26 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but he will be looking to bounce back at home out of the break since he has been so consistent all year. He also has 9 wins this season which leads the starting rotation and that has been a common theme for the Dodgers with him starting. The Dodgers lost their last series to the Tigers before the All-Star break so they will be looking to bounce back at home with the better pitching matchup here, and they also have the better offense to get the job done. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Red Sox Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 19, 2024 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Red Sox 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox: 28-15 (+14.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 43 away games. 49-46 (+5.25 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 95 games. 30-22 to the over in their last 52 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 46-37 (-17.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 83 games. 23-30 (-11.95 units) on the runline in their last 53 games. 26-19 to the over in their last 45 home games.
Key Injuries
Boston Red Sox: J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: D. Hudson (RP) Ques Fri - Back. D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“The kid is locked in. Just take care of him this week. He's not going to Texas for a good reason, right. He wants to be ready for the second part, getting treatment during the week and keeping healthy.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.
“Hung an 0-2 breaking ball to McKinstry for a triple, and that sort of opened the flood gates.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Boston Red Sox
J Duran (L) CF
D Hamilton (L) 2B
M Yoshida (L) DH
R Devers (L) 3B
T O'Neill (R) LF
W Abreu (L) RF
Do Smith (L) 1B
R McGuire (L) C
C Rafaela (R) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) LF
A Pages (R) RF
M Rojas (R) SS
G Lux (L) 2B
C Taylor (R) 3B
J Outman (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Connor Wong (.307)
Hits: Jarren Duran (113)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (23)
RBI: Rafael Devers (61)
Stolen Bases: David Hamilton (23)
Wins: Brayan Bello (10)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (19)
ERA: Brennan Bernardino (1.69)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.316)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (117)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (29)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (69)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (23)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
