Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, May 27, 2024

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8, Pacers +8; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8, Pacers +8; Over/Under:  222.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8.5, Pacers +8.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  4-6 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 27-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row and the Indiana Pacers in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Pacers in game 3 of this series, Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 36 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 24 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 48-42-5 this season and their O/U record is 51-44.

The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Celtics in game 3 of this series, Andrew Nembhard led the team in points in that game with 32 while T. J. McConnell was next on the team with 23 points. Andrew Nembhard led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50.5% from the field, 22.7% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 53-43-3 this season and their O/U record is 53-44-2.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics and the 6th seeded Pacers for the Eastern Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Celtics have a 3-0 series lead after winning game 3 of this series on the road. The Pacers now find themselves in a 3-0 hole and that is a series deficit that no NBA team has ever come back from. They haven't looked bad in their games as they had a chance to win game 1 but blew it in OT, and they even had a chance to win game 3 on their home court while missing one of their best players as Haliburton was out and they still maintained a double digit lead throughout the whole game, but then the Celtics stormed back in the 4th quarter to win the game by 3 points and after that way to lose a game, the Pacers are done in this series. Game 4 is still at home for the Pacers but it is only going to get harder as Haliburton could still be out for that game and now the Celtics are going to be getting back a key player in their starting lineup. The Celtics weren't able to cover the spread in game 3 since they were behind the entire game and had to win it late, but now the Pacers have to be deflated in this game down 3-0 in the series and the Celtics are getting a boost to their lineup too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 27, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Celtics 118 Pacers 92.

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Boston Celtics: 6-13 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 3-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 26-18 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 8-4 OVER after 6 or more consecutive wins. 20-11 OVER off a road win. 

Indiana Pacers: 8-3 ATS as a home underdog. 13-2 ATS off a home loss. 20-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 12-2 OVER as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 20-8 OVER against Atlantic division opponents. 11-4 OVER after 5 or more consecutive overs. 

Boston Celtics:  L. Kornet (C) Ques Mon - Wrist. K. Porzingis (PF) Prob Mon - Calf.

Indiana Pacers:  T. Haliburton (PG) Out Mon - Leg. B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

“We've met every challenge. We're in a great position right now, one win away from the finals. But we can't look past Monday or anything like that and we have a special opportunity to go back to the finals.” - Jayson Tatum after their win against the Pacers in game 3 of this series on Saturday. 

“Courageous. Our guys played a great game. We came up a little short tonight, but we will be back Monday and we will be punching even harder.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Celtics in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis 

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)

APG: D. White (5.2)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)

APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)