Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 10, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, June 12, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics +2, Mavericks -2; Over/Under:  213 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics +2, Mavericks -2; Over/Under:  213 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics +1.5, Mavericks -1.5; Over/Under:  212.5 points

Season Record

Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10


Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis


The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 27-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row, the Indiana Pacers 4 times in a row, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Mavericks in game 2 of this series, Jrue Holiday led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 21 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Jrue Holiday led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 45.2% from the field, 25.6% from 3-point range, and 95% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 49-43-6 this season and their O/U record is 51-47.



The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Celtics in game 2 of this series, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 32 while P.J. Washington was next on the team with 17 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.5% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 59-41-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-55-1.


Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics from the Eastern Conference and the 5th seeded Mavericks from the Western Conference for the NBA Finals. The Celtics have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 of this series on their home court. The Celtics looked great in the first 2 games of this series, pulling away from the Mavericks in game 1 by the end of the 1st quarter and never looking back. They looked just as good in game 2, winning that game by 7 points, but they didn't pull away the way they did in game 1 as that game was a lot closer for 48 minutes. The Celtics eventually pulled away in the 2nd half to win that game by 7 points, but now they are going to have a much harder challenge on the road in Dallas. The Mavericks have looked good on their home court in the playoffs and the last thing they want is to lose this game at home since no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit. Especially with the regular season the Celtics just put up, the Mavericks can't afford to go down 3-0 here so expect them to bring their best effort and throw everything they have at the Celtics to get a game back here. It is also going to help that Porzingis was banged up in game 2 and didn't play a ton so the Mavs can exploit that here at home and take advantage in game 3. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Celtics Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 120 Celtics 116.
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NBA Betting Trends


Boston Celtics: 3-6 ATS when leading in a playoff series. 1-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or less in 3 straight games. 22-10 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 14-7 UNDER in the finals. 

Dallas Mavericks: 39-24 ATS as a favorite. 20-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 9-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 11-1 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 12-4 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 6-1 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games.

Key Injuries


Boston Celtics:  None.

Dallas Mavericks:  O. Prosper (PF) Ques Wed - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.


Notable Quotes


“It’s not all on him. It’s a team. He put us in a position. He was really good tonight. Unfortunately, we just couldn’t get over the hump. We’ve got to find someone to join Luka and (Kyrie Irving) in that scoring category.” - Jason Kidd on Luka Doncic after his team’s loss against the Celtics in game 2 of this series on Sunday.


“I’m really tired of hearing about one guy or this guy or that guy and everybody trying to make it out to be anything other than Celtic basketball. Everybody that stepped on that court today made winning plays on both ends of the floor.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 2 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis

Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Statistical Leaders


Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)
APG: D. White (5.2)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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