Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 11, 2024

Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8, Cavaliers +8; Over/Under:  211.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8, Cavaliers +8; Over/Under:  211.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -7.5, Cavaliers +7.5; Over/Under:  211.5 points

Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  48-34 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 27-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 19 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.3% from the field, 22.9% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 46-38-5 this season and their O/U record is 46-43.

The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 48-34 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 29 while Evan Mobley and Caris LeVert each were next on the team with 21 points. Donovan Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 54.7% from the field, 46.4% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 42-47-2 this season and their O/U record is 44-46-1.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics and the 4th seeded Cavaliers for Round 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Cavaliers won game 2 of this series on the road. The Cavaliers looked great in game 2 with a blowout win over the Celtics by double digits. The same this happened to the Celtics in their last series against the Heat though, losing game 2 on their home court but then winning the next 3 games in a row to win the series. The Celtics were a great road team this year with their 27-14 road record and they didn't lose many games at home this season so they are going to be ready to respond in this game, just like they did after their loss in game 2 against the Heat in their last series. The Cavaliers have looked good in their home games this year as they were a lot better in those games, but they also struggled more in their last 2 games at home against the Magic. Now they are going to have the best team in the NBA coming into their building with revenge on the mind and they are going to bring their best effort knowing that they need to flip the home advantage back in their favor. The Celtics will bring their best effort in this game to get this one back on the road and this game will look a lot like game 3 of their last series against the Heat as they respond in a big way. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.

Celtics Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 11, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 108 Cavaliers 92.

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Boston Celtics: 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 23-14 ATS off a home loss. 8-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 9-5 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 8-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more. 9-1 UNDER off a home loss by 10 points or more.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 3-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 17-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 21-31 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 28-19 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 12-4 UNDER in all playoff games. 11-6 UNDER off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more.

Boston Celtics:  K. Porzingis (PF) Late May - Calf.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  C. Porter Jr. (PG) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. J. Allen (C) Out Indefinitely - Ribs. D. Wade (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“We expected them to play better and they did. They responded and we didn’t.” - Al Horford after their loss against the Cavaliers in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

“When we defend the way we defended and our shots fall, what we do travels. And we can win anywhere.” - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s win against the Celtics in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Al Horford

PG Darius Garland

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Marcus Morris Sr.

C Evan Mobley

PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)

APG: D. White (5.2)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

PPG: D. Mitchell (26.6)

APG: D. Garland (6.5)

Reb/G: J. Allen (10.5)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)