Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/02/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, May 2, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Boston Bruins:  47-20-15 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  46-26-10 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Boston Bruins:  5-4-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  3-7-0 last 10

The Bruins are entering this game with 109 points, a 47-20-15 record overall, and they were 23-9-9 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one at home 2-1 in overtime. Trent Frederic scored 1 goal for them in that game. Patrick Maroon led the team in assists with 1 while Trent Frederic and David Pastrňák each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jeremy Swayman was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 33 shots with 31 saves and a .939 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 102 points, a 46-26-10 record overall, and they were 22-15-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Boston Bruins in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-1 in OT. Jake McCabe and Matthew Knies each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Max Domi, Ilya Lyubushkin, Mitchell Marner, and John Tavares each led the team in assists with 1 while William Nylander and Morgan Rielly each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 save percentage. Their offense has scored 303 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 263 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Bruins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Bruins and the 3rd seeded Maple Leafs in the Atlantic Division for Round 1 of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bruins have a 3-2 series lead after the Leafs won game 5 of this series on the road. The Leafs threw everything they had at the Bruins in game 5 to stay alive in this series and it worked as the Leafs managed to get an overtime win and extend this series at least 1 more game. Now they are coming back home for game 6 with a chance to even up the series with the momentum on their side now, but they have looked worse on home ice this season than they have in their road games. The Leafs also lost both home games to the Bruins in this series so they aren't going to be feeling great about coming back home for this elimination game. The Bruins are going to respond to that tight loss with a better effort here and the Leafs have struggled to get by Boston in the playoffs for years so they will also have to deal with that mental block too. The Bruins will bounce back in this game and close out this series with another road win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bruins to win this game.

Bruins Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 2, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bruins 3 Leafs 2.

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Boston Bruins: 60-30 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 39-20 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 61-29 (+16.3 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 UNDER revenging a home loss versus opponent. 10-3 UNDER off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival. 

Toronto Maple Leafs: 52-49 (-28.8 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 36-30 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 90-69 (-30.5 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 7-1 UNDER when trailing in a playoff series. 22-15 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

Boston Bruins:  A. Peeke (D) Out indefinitely - Finger. M. Poitras (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Lucic (LW) out for season - Ankle.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  A. Matthews (C) Ques Thurs - Illness. B. McMann (C) Out Indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“They came and they left it all out there. We need to be better. That's all it is.” - Brad Marchand after their loss against the Leafs in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.

“The aggression, the assertiveness that we played from the start. We didn’t feel sorry for ourselves. We didn’t mail it in. We went out and tried to take charge of the hockey game in the first period.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Bruins in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.

LW DeBrusk, Jake

C Zacha, Pavel

RW Pastrnak, David

LD Lohrei, Mason

RD McAvoy, Charlie

G Swayman, Jeremy

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Domi, Max

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Woll, Joseph

Points: D. Pastrnak (110)

Goals: D. Pastrnak (47)

Assists: D. Pastrnak (63)

GAA: J. Swayman (2.53)

Points: A. Matthews (107)

Goals: A. Matthews (69)

Assists: M. Marner (59)

GAA: M. Jones (2.87)

Coaches:

Boston Bruins: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)