by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 21, 2024
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, October 25, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BSU -3, UNLV +3; Over/Under: 66 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BSU -3, UNLV +3; Over/Under: 66 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BSU -3.5, UNLV +3.5; Over/Under: 66.5 points
Season Record
Boise State Broncos: 5-1 (2-0) (2nd place, MWC)
UNLV Rebels: 6-1 (2-0) (1st place, MWC)
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Recent Form
Boise State Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 28-7.
UNLV Rebels: won their last game on the road against the Oregon State Beavers 33-25.
Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels Preview and Analysis
Boise State is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Hawaii 28-7. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 217 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 217 and 1 TD. Cam Camper led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Seyi Oladipo led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jayden Virgin led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
UNLV is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oregon State 33-25. Hajj-Malik Williams was the starting QB and he completed 15/27 passes for 196 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Hajj-Malik Williams led the team in rushing yards with 65 and 2 TDs. Ricky White III led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Jalen Catalon led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Antonio Doyle Jr. led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Boise State vs UNLV Prediction
The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked really good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Mountain West. Their only loss this season was a road game against Oregon who is still undefeated in the Big Ten this season and just knocked down Ohio State in one of their games. They only lost that game by 3 points too and Boise State has the best running back in the country right now, making a case for the Heisman too. Meanwhile, UNLV has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which also has them at the top of the Mountain West. They have looked good in their games after dealing with some QB drama a few weeks ago, but their only loss this season did come at home against Syracuse. Ashton Jeanty has been one of the stories of the year and it is going to be really difficult for this UNLV defense to slow him down here. UNLV also played last week while Boise State is coming out of their bye week due to their last game being in Hawaii so they are going to have extra time to prepare for this game while UNLV is on a shorter week. This is a really big game that could decide who sits atop the MWC for the rest of the season and Boise State will use this game to make a statement with their Heisman level running back. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game.
Boise State UNLV Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 25, 2024 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Boise State 38 UNLV 27.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Boise State Broncos UNLV Rebels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Boise State Broncos: 12-5 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 22-12 OVER in all lined games. 17-9 OVER as a favorite. 6-0 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game.
UNLV Rebels: 2-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 4-7 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 1-5 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 rushing yards/game or more. 10-4 OVER in home lined games. 8-4 OVER in dome games. 11-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Key Injuries
Boise State Broncos: R. Carreon (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Dubar (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Terry (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Merriweather (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.
UNLV Rebels: None.
Notable Quotes
“So proud of Ashton Jeanty, he’s an absolute war daddy. He’s the best player in the country. Those were tough yards. They’re the number one ranked defense in our conference for a reason. Those guys flew around, they had a great plan of attack and he just kept battling, kept battling.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against Hawaii in their last game.
“He’s got everything Boise downloaded on our computers that we’ll have on the way home. We’ve already got a breakdown. Our GA’s and QC’s did a great breakdown because we knew it would be a short week.” - Barry Odom after his team’s win against Oregon State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Boise State Broncos
WR Strachan, Prince
WR Bolt, Austin
WR Caples, Latrell
TE Lauter, Matt
QB Madsen, Maddux
RB Jeanty, Ashton
FB Crowe, Tyler
UNLV Rebels
WR Cain, Casey
WR White III, Ricky
WR De Jesus, Jacob
TE Ballungay, Kaleo
QB Williams, Hajj-Malik
RB Thomas, Jai'Den
Statistical Leaders
Boise State Broncos
Passing: M. Madsen (1273)
Rushing: A. Jeanty (1248)
Receiving: C. Camper (441)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (18)
UNLV Rebels
Passing: H. Williams (838)
Rushing: H. Williams (390)
Receiving: R. White (614)
Touchdowns: R. White (9)
Coaches:
Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)
UNLV Rebels: Barry Odom (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
