Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/19/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 13, 2025
Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Sunday, January 19, 2025
Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY 
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens +1, Bills -1; Over/Under:  51.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens +1, Bills -1; Over/Under:  51.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens +1, Bills -1; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  12-5 (1st place, AFC North)
Buffalo Bills:  13-4 (1st place, AFC East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 28-14.
Buffalo Bills:  won their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 31-7.


Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis


The Ravens finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 6-2 in their home games, 6-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 28-14. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 16/21 passes for 175 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 186 and 2 TDs. Isaiah Likely led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Ar'Darius Washington led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Nnamdi Madubuike led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Bills finished the NFL regular season with a 13-4 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 8-0 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 31-7. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 272 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 120 and 1 TD. Curtis Samuel led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Matt Milano and Greg Rousseau each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Ravens vs Bills Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked great in their games this season with their 13-4 record overall which has them leading the AFC East with the number 2 seed in the AFC. They are coming off a 31-7 win over the Broncos and that was a game that was close at halftime, but the Bills came out in the 2nd half and really took control of that game. Their defense looked really good as the Broncos struggled to move the ball and they have had a really good run game with James Cook all season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which leads the AFC North with the number 3 seed in the AFC. They also looked really good in their Wild Card game as they beat the Steelers 28-14 and the game was never close. The Ravens jumped out to a big double digit lead before the Steelers could even get anything going on offense. The Ravens have had one of the best offenses in the NFL all season and a lot of that has been how good Lamar Jackson has been, but the addition of Derrick Henry has also made this offense unstoppable at times. Their defense has also looked a lot better over the last month as they figured out whatever problems they were dealing with there, but the home advantage is going to play a big factor in this game. A majority of the Ravens 5 losses this season came on the road and with the playoff win over the Broncos last week, the Bills are now 9-0 in their home games this season. The Ravens were also the Bills first loss of the season back in week 4, and the Ravens embarrassed the Bills at home so that loss is definitely on their minds and the Bills will be looking to get their revenge in the playoffs now. The Bills are also a lot better than they were in that first meeting as this team has grown so look for the Bills to get their revenge with the home advantage on their side now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 19, 2025 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Bills 27 Ravens 24.
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NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 18-8 ATS in road games. 18-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 15-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 11-6 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.

Buffalo Bills: 2-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 2-9 1H ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 3-7 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 12-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 12-6 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  Z. Flowers (WR) Out - Knee. K. Hamilton (SAF) Injured - Knee. D. Harty (WR) Questionable - Knee. J. Hill (RB) Injured - Concussion.

Buffalo Bills:  T. Johnson (RB) Injured - Knee. J. Ingram (CB) Injured - Personal. B. Codrington (DB) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Cooper (WR) Injured - Back. T. Bernard (LB) Injured - Quad. D. Smoot (DE) Injured - Wrist. M. Milano (LB) Injured - Biceps. J. Phillips (DT) Injured - Back. C. Samuel (WR) Injured - Ribs. R. Douglas (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Lewis (DB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Hamlin (SAF) Injured - Ribs. T. Rapp (SAF) Injured - Neck. D. Williams (LB) Injured - Elbow. D. Kincaid (TE) Injured - Knee. D. Carter (DT) Injured - Wrist.

Notable Quotes


“My dad's proud. Jack Harbaugh's proud right now. He likes to pound the rock. Derrick Henry was running hard, physical. Lamar started it off. Lamar carried the ball at different times in the first drive or two.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game. 


“This is what everyone’s been waiting for, right? So it’ll be a nice week and everyone will be looking forward to it, and they’re a great football team. I mean they handled us pretty good the first go around and they’re certainly playing well.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s win against the Broncos in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Wallace, Tylan
WR Agholor, Nelson
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Henry, Derrick 
FB Ricard, Patrick

Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Hollins, Mack 
WR Shakir, Khalil 
TE Knox, Dawson
QB Allen, Josh 
RB Cook, James 
FB Gilliam, Reggie

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (4172)
Rushing: D. Henry (1921)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (1059)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (18)

Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (3731)
Rushing: J. Cook (981)
Receiving: K. Shakir (821)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (17)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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