Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/21/2024

Game Time: 2:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 21, 2024

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Rangers +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Rangers +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Rangers +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  59-38 (1st place, AL East)

Texas Rangers:  46-51 (3rd place, AL West)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-38 record overall and have a road record of 29-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Orioles won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .767 OPS. Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-5 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 4.2 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-51 record overall and have a home record of 24-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Rangers lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Andrew Heaney is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-10 with a 3.79 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked really good in their games this season with their 59-38 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games this year with their 29-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 46-51 record overall which has them out of the playoff race since this team looks nothing like the team that won the World Series last year. They have been better in their home games with their 24-22 home record and they have been the much hotter team lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Rangers lost the 1st game out of the All-Star break 9-1 so they will be looking to bounce back in this home game, and they do have the better pitching matchup in this one. Heaney is on the mound for the Rangers and he is 3-10 with a 3.79 ERA. He has 10 losses this season which is a lot, but he hasn't been giving up that many runs in his starts and he has looked a lot better lately too. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been more of a common theme for him lately and even the team is finding some success now, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Orioles are going to have Kremer on the mound here and he hasn't looked great in his starts this season. He is 4-5 with a 4.38 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs all year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and his team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he always has the potential to get blown up on the mound. The Orioles put up 9 runs in the 1st game of this series but they really haven't been producing a ton of runs lately so this is a game where Heaney can shut them down as the Rangers find a way to put up some runs on Kremer. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Orioles Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 21, 2024 (2:35 pm ET start time) is Rangers 5 Orioles 3.

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Baltimore Orioles: 18-8 (+8.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 26 away games. 28-18 (+13.15 units) on the runline in their last 46 away games. 19-7 to the over with their team total in their last 26 away games. 

Texas Rangers: 40-50 (-17.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 90 games. 25-34 (-6.30 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 59 games. 28-19 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 47 games.

Baltimore Orioles:  H. Kjerstad (RF) Late July - Head. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  D. Dunning (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Winn (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Pruitt (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Carter (CF) Early July - Back. C. Bradford (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. J. Jung (3B) Early July - Wrist. T. Mahle (SP) Mid July - Elbow. C. Coleman (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. deGrom (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

“To put up four runs in the first with Corbin Burnes on the mound, you feel good about that.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Friday.

“He's good, he's real good. He's tough. He's got a good mix and velo.” - Bruce Bochy on Corbin Burnes after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

G Henderson (L) SS

A Rutschman (S) C

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

J Westburg (R) 3B

C Cowser (L) LF

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

J Mateo (R) 2B

M Semien (R) 2B

C Seager (L) SS

J Smith (L) 3B

W Langford (R) LF

A García (R) RF

N Lowe (L) 1B

J Heim (S) C

T Jankowski (L) DH

L Taveras (S) CF

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (112)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)

RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (63)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Batting Average:  Justin Foscue (.500)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (94)

Home Runs:  Corey Seager (18)

RBI:  Marcus Semien (51)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (11)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (6)

Saves:  Kirby Yates (16)

ERA:  Kirby Yates (1.05)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (2nd season)