Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, July 19, 2024
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  MASN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -155, Rangers +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -155, Rangers +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -155, Rangers +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  58-38 (1st place, AL East)
Texas Rangers:  46-50 (3rd place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  3-7 last 10
Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-38 record overall and have a road record of 28-16. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Dean Kremer was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-4 with a 2.43 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 9 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-50 record overall and have a home record of 24-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .693 OPS. Max Scherzer was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Nathan Eovaldi is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 8 hits through 7 innings played against the Houston Astros.


Orioles vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked really good in their games this season with their 58-38 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games this year with their 28-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 46-50 record overall which has them out of the playoff race since this team looks nothing like the team that won the World Series last year. They have been better in their home games with their 24-21 home record and they went into the All-Star break hot with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but the break killed their momentum and they won't come out as hot in this one. They have Eovaldi on the mound here and he has looked great this season. He is 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA and hasn’t been giving up many runs. He gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting, but he did give up a ton of hits in his last start and that is going to be troublesome here against one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Orioles will have Burnes on the mound here and he is 9-4 with a 2.43 ERA. He has been one of their best starters this season and he will help the Orioles get off to a hotter start out of the break. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start but he hasn't been giving up that many in a lot of his starts this season, and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting so he is due for a win here with how well he has been pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Orioles Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 19, 2024 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Rangers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 16-8 (+6.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 24 away games. 47-40 (+13.45 units) on the runline in their last 87 games. 17-7 to the over with their team total in their last 24 away games. 

Texas Rangers: 40-48 (-15.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 88 games. 25-35 (-4.05 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 57 games. 27-18 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 45 games. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  H. Kjerstad (RF) Late July - Head. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  D. Dunning (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Winn (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Pruitt (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Carter (CF) Early July - Back. C. Bradford (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. J. Jung (3B) Early July - Wrist. T. Mahle (SP) Mid July - Elbow. C. Coleman (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. deGrom (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“You can't lead off an inning with two walks and make kind of a missed pitch. The boys battled, and we were able to put something special together there at the end. That was fun to watch." - Craig Kimbrel after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Sunday.


“They should feel good about how we finished up here. We have a lot of baseball left and we have to make up ground, we know that. But if we play that type of ball, good things can happen.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
G Henderson (L) SS
A Rutschman (S) DH
R Mountcastle (R) 1B
A Santander (S) RF
J Westburg (R) 3B
A Hays (R) LF
J Mateo (R) 2B
C Cowser (L) CF
J McCann (R) C

Texas Rangers
M Semien (R) 2B
C Seager (L) SS
J Smith (L) 3B
W Langford (R) LF
A García (R) RF
N Lowe (L) 1B
J Heim (S) DH
L Taveras (S) CF
A Knizner (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)
Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (108)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)
RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (63)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)
ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  Justin Foscue (.500)
Hits:  Marcus Semien (93)
Home Runs:  Corey Seager (18)
RBI:  Marcus Semien (51)
Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (11)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (6)
Saves:  Kirby Yates (16)
ERA:  Kirby Yates (1.05)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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