Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/03/2024

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, August 3, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  65-45 (1st place, AL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  66-42 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-45 record overall and have a road record of 31-20. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Orioles lost the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zach Eflin is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-7 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 10 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 66-42 record overall and have a home record of 34-15. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Guardians won the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Joey Cantillo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 66-42 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season, going 34-15 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 65-45 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB too. They have also looked great in their road games with their 31-20 road record. The Orioles haven't looked good lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games and they have allowed the Yankees a chance to pass them in the division once again. The Guardians have been getting hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and their offense has looked a lot better too. They are going to have their rookie Cantillo starting in this one and this is only his 2nd MLB start, but he wasn't terrible in his 1st start and will be looking to improve. He did give up 3 earned runs in a win against the Phillies, only pitching a little over 3 innings in that one too, but he isn't going to pitch long in this game either and the Guardians have the better bullpen to help him out if he gets into trouble. The Orioles are going with Eflin in this one and he hasn't looked terrible this season, but he hasn't been great either with his 4-7 record and his 4.11 ERA. He also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start but his team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. This will be his 1st start for the Orioles since getting traded, but he is still going to struggle more in this road game like he has all season. The Guardians are the hotter team right now and they have the better bullpen to pull this one out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Orioles Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 3, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Orioles 3.

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Baltimore Orioles: 16-21 (-13.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 37 games. 1-5 (-5.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 6 away games. 38-26 to the over in their last 64 games.

Cleveland Guardians: 33-12 (+15.20 units) on the moneyline in their last 45 home games. 23-23 (+8.50 units) on the runline in their last 46 home games. 29-16 to the over with their team total in their last 45 home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Westburg (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. Bibee (SP) Out Sat - Shoulder. S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It was definitely a whirlwind today, something I haven’t been through before. But I’m not going to sit here and make excuses. I've still got to execute the game plan.” - Trevor Rogers after their loss against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.

“We played a really good game. We got to their starter and then added on with the bullpen and that’s a great recipe to win any game.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.

C Cowser (L) LF

A Rutschman (S) C

G Henderson (L) SS

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

R Urías (R) 3B

J Holliday (L) 2B

S Kwan (L) LF

L Thomas (R) CF

J Ramírez (S) 3B

J Naylor (L) 1B

D Fry (R) DH

J Noel (R) RF

T Freeman (R) 2B

B Naylor (L) C

B Rocchio (S) SS

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (123)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (32)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (74)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (19)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (13)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Batting Average:  Lane Thomas (.375)

Hits:  José Ramírez (116)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (28)

RBI:  José Ramírez (90)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (20)

Wins:  Ben Lively (10)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (33)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)