by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 14, 2024
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ball State +36.5, Miami-FL -36.5; Over/Under: 54 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ball State +36.5, Miami-FL -36.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ball State +36.5, Miami-FL -36.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Ball State Cardinals: 1-0 (0-0) (3rd place, MAC)
Miami Hurricanes: 2-0 (0-0) (6th place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Ball State Cardinals: won their last game at home against the Missouri State Bears 42-34.
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game at home against the Florida A&M Rattlers 56-9.
Ball State Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes Preview and Analysis
Ball State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Missouri State 42-34. Kadin Semonza was the starting QB and he completed 28/39 passes for 262 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Braedon Sloan led the team in rushing yards with 103 and 1 TD. Cam Pickett led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Keionte Newson led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Riley Tolsma and Nathan Reichert each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Joey Stemler came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida A&M 56-9. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 304 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Damien Martinez led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. Xavier Restrepo led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jaden Harris led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tyler Baron led the defense in sacks with 3. Wesley Bissainthe and Adarius Hayes each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Ball State vs Miami Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 36.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked really good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall. They are coming off a 56-9 win against Florida A&M last week, but they won their season opener on the road against Florida and it wasn't even close. Miami looks like a real threat in the ACC this season and with both Florida State and Clemson losing games already, they will be looking to take over this conference this season. Meanwhile, Ball State is 1-0 overall to start their season, but they didn't look great in their only game. They beat Missouri State 42-34, but they were trailing in that game for quite a bit before they started to get going. Their defense was also terrible since they gave up 34 points at home to a team from the FCS. This is only their 2nd game of the season, but it is also their 1st road game and Miami isn't an easy opponent with how good they have looked so far. Ball State doesn't have a ton of talent on their team either so this game is going to be more like last week when Miami played Florida A&M. That Ball State defense isn't keeping this Miami offense off the board here, and the Miami defense will also be a lot harder for Ball State to score on here on the road, especially with the slow start they had last week. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
Ball State Miami Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 14, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 52 Ball State 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ball State Cardinals: 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. 3-2 (+1.90 units) on the 1st quarter moneyline in their last 5 games. 4-0 to the 1st quarter under in their last 4 road games.
Miami Hurricanes: 3-8 ATS in the 1st quarter of their last 11 games. 3-8 (-7.60 units) on the 1st quarter moneyline in their last 11 games. 9-4 to the under in their last 13 games.
Key Injuries
Ball State Cardinals: T. Firestone (WR) Questionable - Knee. J. Bowick (WR) Questionable - Abdominal. T. Robinson (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. H. Sanderson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. McClain (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Miami Hurricanes: R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Rivers (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brown (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Bain (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Taylor (DB) Questionable - Arm. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Porter (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I know we’re judged on wins and losses. I hope people want to win and I hope they take it personal. That tells me they care about Ball State and I want that to be the case." - Mike Neu on his team this season.
“He is the alpha dog leader. He changes things. Certain guys bring a spark and it catches with everybody. He's that guy.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against FAMU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Ball State Cardinals
WR Bowick, Justin
WR Robinson, Ty
WR Magwood, Qian
TE Koziol, Tanner
QB Semonza, Kadin
RB Sloan, Braedon
Miami Hurricanes
WR Brown, Samuel
WR George, Jacolby
WR Restrepo, Xavier
TE Arroyo, Elijah
QB Ward, Cam
RB Martinez, Damien
Statistical Leaders
Ball State Cardinals
Passing: K. Semonza (262)
Rushing: B. Sloan (103)
Receiving: C. Pickett (69)
Touchdowns: B. Sloan (2)
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: C. Ward (689)
Rushing: D. Martinez (156)
Receiving: X. Restrepo (216)
Touchdowns: M. Fletcher (3)
Coaches:
Ball State Cardinals: Mike Neu (9th season)
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
