Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024

Venue:  Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +5.5, Mizzou -5.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +5.5, Mizzou -5.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +5.5, Mizzou -5.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  2-4 (0-3) (15th place, SEC)

Missouri Tigers:  5-1 (1-1) (9th place, SEC)

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Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Bulldogs 31-13.

Missouri Tigers:  won their last game on the road against the UMass Minutemen 45-3.

Auburn is entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 31-13. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 16/27 passes for 200 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jarquez Hunter led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. KeAndre Lambert-Smith led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Keldric Faulk led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Keldric Faulk led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Missouri is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UMass 45-3. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 14/19 passes for 219 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcus Carroll led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 3 TDs. Joshua Manning led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Nicholas Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Marcus Clarke, Williams Nwaneri, and Chris McClellan each led the defense in sacks with 1. Corey Flagg Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 1-1 conference record. Their only loss this season was against Texas A&M and they got blown out in that one, but they bounced back with an easy win over UMass last week and will be looking to bounce back in the SEC now. Meanwhile, Auburn hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall and their 0-3 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They are coming out of their bye week so they have had some extra time to prepare for this game, but they have also played in 1 road game this season. Their only road game was a blowout loss to Georgia and this isn't going to be any easier since Missouri has been a really tough team to beat at home. Auburn has been really inconsistent with their offense this season and that will be an issue on the road here against a Missouri offense that has been rolling. Missouri also has a much better defense that hasn't been giving up many points in most of their games this year. Missouri may be coming off a blowout win in their last one, but they are still looking to bounce back with a win in the SEC and they are going to bring their best effort for this one at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Missouri 34 Auburn 17.

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Auburn Tigers: 3-6 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 4-8 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-8 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 3-0 UNDER in games played on turf. 6-2 1H UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing <=310 yards/game.

Missouri Tigers: 12-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 9-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 8-4 UNDER as a home favorite. 8-3 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points. 8-2 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 

Auburn Tigers:  C. Coleman (WR) Doubtful - Shoulder. I. Miller (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. McPherson (K) Questionable - Illness. B. Battie (RB) Out - Head.

Missouri Tigers:  J. Wayne (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. S. Horn (QB) Out - Elbow. D. Smith (DE) Out - Knee.

“Obviously, a disappointing season. Another step that was not in the direction we hoped.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game. 

“The first play Luther scored on I thought set the tone. Luther set the tone as a guy everybody looks up to to make that play.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s win against UMass in their last game. 

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre

WR Lewis, Robert 

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Brown, Hank 

RB Hunter, Jarquez

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Cooper, Mookie 

WR Burden III, Luther 

TE Norfleet, Brett 

QB Cook, Brady

RB Noel, Nate 

Passing: P. Thorne (1238)

Rushing: J. Hunter (528)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (510)

Touchdowns: K. Lambert-Smith (6)

Passing: B. Cook (1351)

Rushing: N. Noel (471)

Receiving: T. Wease (407)

Touchdowns: L. Burden (6)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (2nd season)

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (5th season)