Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/30/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Aug 29, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, August 30, 2024
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  BSSE


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +114, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +115, Phillies -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  73-60 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  78-55 (1st place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10



Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis


The Braves are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 73-60 record overall and have a road record of 37-32. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Friday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 78-55 record overall and have a home record of 44-24. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.


Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 73-60 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't been bad in their road games this season with their 37-32 road record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 78-55 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season with their 44-24 home record. The Phillies are leading their division over the Braves but that lead has been shrinking and the Phillies haven't looked great lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. They did win their last series against the Astros, but the Braves are coming off a series sweep and have been really hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games. The Braves are going to have Lopez on the mound here and he has been a stud all season for them. He is 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and his team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Phillies are going with Suarez here and he has looked good this season with his 11-5 record and his 2.82 ERA, but the team hasn't been finding much success with him lately. He did give up just 1 earned run in his last start, but the team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and haven't really been offering him run support. The Braves already have the slight edge between these two really good starters, but they have also been the hotter team and will edge out the Phillies in this really important game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 30, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 2 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Atlanta Braves: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 08/30/2024.

Philadelphia Phillies: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 08/30/2024.

Key Injuries


Atlanta Braves:  T. d'Arnaud (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. A. Riley (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“That’s, to me, why that guy’s the front-runner for the Cy Young. He’s unbelievable when he gets his back to the wall like that, how he reaches back and can find a way to get out of it. That’s why he’s got 15 wins.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.


“I thought it was a step in the right direction with a lot of ground balls.” - Taijuan Walker after their loss against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Braves
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Jorge Soler (R) RF
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ramón Laureano (R) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Sean Murphy (R) C
Luke Williams (R) 3B

Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.309)
Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (154)
Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (37)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (98)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)
Wins:  Chris Sale (15)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (28)
ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Weston Wilson (.353)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (147)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (28)
RBI:  Alec Bohm (89)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (26)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (12)
Saves:  José Alvarado (13)
ERA:  Max Lazar (0.00)

Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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